https://es.pn/4g2Eoyb
Jeff Passan寫的今年自由球員預覽
第三位寫到佐佐木朗希
說大家都在猜朗希今年會不會入札，但這些風聲充滿了矛盾的資訊，然後整理了ESPN目前藉
由國內外來源得到的消息
There has been widespread speculation about whether Sasaki, the 22-year-old phen
om from Japan, will be posted to MLB this winter. The speculation is filled with
contradictory information that does not reflect the current state of Sasaki's p
lans. Here, from domestic and international sources, is what ESPN learned about
where Sasaki stands.
1) Sasaki wanted to enter the posting system, which allows for the transfer of J
apanese players to MLB, last offseason. He would have forfeited hundreds of mill
ions of dollars in a potential future contract. Any player under 25 years old wh
o gets posted is subject to international signing restrictions, which would limi
t Sasaki's potential signing bonus to less than $10 million, as happened when Oh
tani was posted by the Hokkaido Nippon Ham Fighters at 23. Sasaki's team, the Ch
iba Lotte Marines, said no.
2) Sasaki's relationship with the Marines was damaged accordingly, and he wants
to leave again. The Marines plan to decide whether to put Sasaki in the posting
system after the season. Were they to do so before 2026, they would receive a po
sting fee of less than $2 million. By contrast, the Orix Buffaloes received a $5
0.6 million fee from the Dodgers on the deal for Yamamoto, who was 25.
3) Sasaki is in the midst of arguably the worst year of his career but still has
posted elite numbers (2.45 ERA, 91 strikeouts, 25 walks, two home runs in 77 in
nings) and impressed scouts with his stuff, particularly a triple-digit fastball
and devastating splitter. Evaluators still believe Sasaki is one of the most ta
lented pitchers in the world, but he did miss time earlier this season because o
f a right arm injury.
大致提到
1.佐佐木去年就想入札，因為目前大聯盟海外簽約對25歲以下球員的限制，他會因此損失一
大筆錢。此要求遭羅德拒絕。
2.雙方關係因此有些受損，佐佐木今年還是想離開，羅德則計畫在賽季後做出決定。如果在
2026年以前放人的話羅德只能拿不到200萬美元的轉隊費，相較之下去年的歐牛拿了5060萬
。
3.佐佐木今年投出生涯最差表現，不過球探還是對他的球威印象深刻，特別是速球跟指叉球
。評估者仍然認為他是地表上最有才華的投手之一，但今年也因為右手傷勢錯過一部分賽季
。
In short: No one knows whether Sasaki will be posted. Lotte controls the entire
process and can keep Sasaki through the 2026 season if it so desires. The decisi
on should come around mid-November, following the conclusion of the Nippon Profe
ssional Baseball season. If Sasaki is posted, the mania will not resemble last y
ear with Yamamoto, when seven large-market teams climbed over one another for hi
s services. With the difference in international bonus money available to teams
negligible, the differentiator in Sasaki's case would not be money. All 30 teams
will scramble to find out what it is if the most intriguing player this winter
finds his way to MLB..
簡言之，沒人知道佐佐木今年會不會入札。羅德控制了整個過程，他們想的話可以等2026年
再放人。該決定應該會等到11月中旬日職球季結束後出爐。
如果羅德真的放人也不會出現像山本由伸那種7隊競價的熱潮。由於各隊可以出的簽約金相
差沒多少，能影響他意向的東西不是錢。假設佐佐木今年就要旅美的話，所有球隊都會想找
出這個決定因素是什麼。
大概是這樣