https://tinyurl.com/44e439v7
佛奇最近的投稿
有PDF可以看
這篇毫無意外的中文媒體都只強調在群體免疫可能達不到
https://udn.com/news/story/121707/6247315
白宮專家佛奇:群體免疫概念恐不適用COVID-19
所以本版就永遠有一堆恐慌仔在強調沒有群體免疫
但其實原文重點不是這樣
佛奇原文意思其實是:
因為沒有辦法達到"古典"群體免疫
(classical herd immunity)
所以人類終究要一直跟新冠共存
(Living with COVID)
節錄原文最後幾段
If vaccine- or infection-induced immunity to SARS-CoV-2 indeed proves
to be short-lived, or if escape mutants continue to emerge, viral spread may
continue indefinitely, albeit hopefully at a low endemic level. This notably
has occurred with the 1918 pandemic influenza virus, whose viral descendants
still are causing seasonal outbreaks and occasional pandemics 104 years later
(pandemic H2N2 in 1957, H3N2 in 1968, and H1N1 in 2009) (24), and which we
have been unable, after more than 80 years of trying, to fully control with
vaccines. Such factors probably make SARS-CoV-2 impossible to eradicate
(only one human virus – smallpox