作者:
searoar (æš—å‘大豆)
2012-04-25 10:52:55http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/index.php/wainwright-and-pujols-rough-starts/
Albert has not been living up to his expectation so far this season. Looking
over his stats, two values stick out as potential areas of concern, his walk
rate and power.
Currently Albert has a career low 7.1% BB%. It is less than half of what it
was just 2 years ago. It might seem that this value is not much of a concern
because he is not being intentionally walked as much. Albert has been
intentionally walked 3.3% of the time over his career. By subtracting out the
intentional walks and the non-intentional intentional walks (IBBump), here
are his walk rates and corrected walk rates over the past 5 years:
Year: BB%, corrected BB%
2008: 16%, 8%
2009: 16%, 7%
2010: 15%, 7%
2011: 9%, 6%
2012: 7%, 3% (2 of his 5 BB have been IBB)
His corrected BB% was similar from 2008 to 2011. This season it has been cut
in half. He is definitely not being walked as much.
A reason he may be seeing more strikes is that pitchers don’t fear him as
much as they did in the past because of a lack of power (0 HRs in 2012). Here
are his ISOs from 2009 to 2012:
Year: ISO
2009: 0.331
2010: 0.284
2011: 0.242
2012: 0.108
It would be nice to have Hit FX data to see exactly if he has been hitting
the ball weaker or in the air more. GameDay data, while not perfect, does
give us some clues that he is just not getting as much distance behind his
hits. Here are his 2011 and 2012 batted ball locations from texasleaguers.com:
兩張圖
So far in 2012, Albert has not even put a ball near the warning track. To
further illustrate the point, here are the average distances of his fly balls
and home runs from 2010 to 2012 as taken from baseballheatmaps.com:
Year: Distance
2010: 313 ft
2011: 303 ft
2012: 275 ft
One possible explanation for the drop in power this season is that he is not
yet familiar with the pitchers in the AL. MGL over at The Book Blog looked at
how hitters and pitchers did once they became more familiar with each other.
Here is his conclusion:
.. there is a large advantage to the batter when he has faced
a pitcher a lot in the last year.
Albert should expect to hit better as he becomes more familiar with the
pitchers in the AL.
Albert is displaying a lack of power that has been trending down the last few
years. On top of the power decline, he is not walking as much even when IBB
are taken into account. I would not recommend selling on him just yet. He
should see an increase in production as he becomes more familiar with AL
pitching. It might be a time to see if his owners are getting impatient with
him and try to buy low.
作者:
yeng1217 (σ`∀′) ゚∀゚)σ)
2012-04-25 10:53:00竟然沒翻 等等zkow來說教啦
作者:
Pujols5 (Albert Pujols)
2012-04-25 10:54:00退化了T________T
作者: redsuck 2012-04-25 10:54:00
你沒翻 完了 等等ZKOW又要說話了
作者:
yeng1217 (σ`∀′) ゚∀゚)σ)
2012-04-25 10:55:00你沒翻 zkow有看到
作者:
kazumi66 (ふぅ☆Bryce♪(*′ω‵*))
2012-04-25 10:55:00等等就有人說你排斥英文不佳的板友(攤手)
作者:
Mooooose (養樂多'牛丼'披薩'筍乾)
2012-04-25 10:55:00結論:美聯比較__
作者:
kabigon (凱爾)
2012-04-25 10:56:00慘了慘了 這樣會不會因為ZKOW 導致你被桶呢
作者: kungen (DK imba) 2012-04-25 10:56:00
國聯比較_______
作者:
kucat (吃奇異果的貓)
2012-04-25 10:56:00你沒翻 zkow有看到
作者: kurt28 2012-04-25 10:57:00
你沒翻 zkow有看到
作者:
jayin07 ( ⊙o⊙)
2012-04-25 10:58:00這作者是投過AS的那位嗎?XD
作者:
zkow (逍遙山水憶秋年)
2012-04-25 10:58:00蠻無聊的,這是版風問題,請不要拿我來造成原PO壓力
作者:
asd25 (別鬧了)
2012-04-25 10:59:00你幻想的板風喔
作者:
zkow (逍遙山水憶秋年)
2012-04-25 11:00:00我不講了,無端惹塵埃
作者:
kabigon (凱爾)
2012-04-25 11:00:00可能是他活在另外一個PTT 也說不定
作者:
hu6111 (HU0402)
2012-04-25 11:00:00哈哈,因為某人又要被鎖文了嗎?
作者:
yeng1217 (σ`∀′) ゚∀゚)σ)
2012-04-25 11:04:00zkow條款要出來桶人了嗎xD
作者:
searoar (æš—å‘大豆)
2012-04-25 11:07:00哈 果然沒人討論 這就是這裡的版風吧
作者:
zkow (逍遙山水憶秋年)
2012-04-25 11:07:00我再呼籲一次,請不要針對本人推文而淹蓋了本文的討論 謝謝
作者: seancycu (阿翔) 2012-04-25 11:10:00
某樓壞了這篇文章的討論
作者:
WLR (WLR™)
2012-04-25 11:10:00沒傷的話早晚會調整回來的
作者: lyrimo (睿謀) 2012-04-25 11:18:00
z尻:超爽的 又有一堆人陪我聊天了 彌補我空虛的心靈~>///<
作者:
Sechslee (ï½·ï¾€â”â”(゚∀゚)â”â”!!)
2012-04-25 11:21:00剛換聯盟 再給多點時間吧
作者: shenglun (KaoBei) 2012-04-25 11:31:00
某個人就別在那假了.....
作者:
a910148 (梨)
2012-04-25 11:39:00下滑好多喔~ 大約還很長-..-
作者:
aaa80437 (O-Ha-Na!!!!)
2012-04-25 12:15:00不爽不要講 XDD
作者:
lahugh (you must die)
2012-04-25 12:18:00看這標題以為普砲開彰張了
作者:
KuoRod (中華隊八局守護神!!)
2012-04-25 12:18:00溫馨 大家只在乎版友 不在乎普神
作者:
yeng1217 (σ`∀′) ゚∀゚)σ)
2012-04-25 12:22:00才打沒多久而已急躁什麼
作者:
pasaword (P幣拿來)
2012-04-25 12:23:00有米老鼠在 誰來都一樣
作者:
koil (雞兔哥)
2012-04-25 13:15:00逢普必噓 天使真的簽錯了
作者:
lookers (實體店面 貨到付款 宅配)
2012-04-25 13:43:00十年風險本來就很大 不過時間還長 就繼續看下去吧
作者:
xephon 2012-04-25 13:48:00過兩個月又回火星 大家又在那邊普神普神的叫了= =
作者: zach0312 2012-04-25 13:54:00
好幼稚的推文 真的覺得時間還早
作者:
ccl007 (.......)
2012-04-25 13:58:00兩個月的 Who is Hot就夠了 XD
作者: HXZ 2012-04-25 14:26:00
拿爽約了
作者:
tunababy (相信妳自己,真的....)
2012-04-25 14:50:00在這個時間點,其實Angels還蠻暗爽在心裡的就是...
作者:
cd12631 (<(◥█◤△◥█◤)>)
2012-04-25 14:50:00再打一個月再說啦
作者:
cd12631 (<(◥█◤△◥█◤)>)
2012-04-25 14:51:00不過這季如果很鳥的話 國聯大概會被酸到爆吧
作者: iluy ( ) 2012-04-25 15:05:00
您為何要這麼急咧
作者:
kuyung (無敵暴龍)
2012-04-25 15:10:00別忘了去年紅雀最後一刻壓低價格他才會跑去天使的...
作者:
tunababy (相信妳自己,真的....)
2012-04-25 15:12:00哦..我少打了一個字....在這個時間點,其實Angels fan 還蠻暗爽在心裡的就是...
作者:
externaload (Vision of disorder)
2012-04-25 15:30:00zkow:請不要因本人ID而廢了整篇文章
作者: white75724 (忙中偷閒) 2012-04-25 16:22:00
國聯王
作者:
laiyuhao (很黃很暴力)
2012-04-25 16:26:00MLB版應該改名叫英檢版才對 不會英文的活該去死囉?