http://tinyurl.com/bqy9de3
"The thing about it I wouldn't question is the format," Smith said. "You've
got your player's batting, his fielding, his baserunning. How well he stays
out of double plays, turns double plays. How he prevents runners from
advancing. You can express all of those things in runs. And once you do that,
you add them up, and it seems so common sense, I don't understand why people
would question it."
Sean Smith (BR版WAR開發人): 我從不懷疑公式 你計算球員的打擊 防守 跑壘
避免雙殺 製造雙殺 防止搶壘 把這些換算成分數 然後相加 這不是很合乎常識嗎?
我不懂為什麼人們要質疑它
That said, they don't invalidate the metric's more accurate pieces. As Smith
said: "I think you can use WAR without crunching a single defensive number.
You can take scouting reports and divide guys into above, average, below.
Fudge the numbers. Use scouting-based defensive numbers. If they all match
somewhat, use it. If they don't match, you've got to make a judgment call as
to what's best.
"不用數據也可以計算WAR 例如使用球探報告 把球員分成上中下 推測個數字 然後帶入
如果不合 就再做另一次猜測"
"I just couldn't justify ignoring defense entirely."
"我只是無法忽略防守不計"