[閒聊] 今年美聯理論勝場與實際勝場

作者: ganbaru (加油)   2013-10-08 05:26:34
美東
Boston Red Sox(97-65) 實際勝場-理論勝場
Scored 853 runs, Allowed 656 runs. Pythagorean W-L: 100-62 -3
2013 Tampa Bay Rays(92-71)
Scored 700 runs, Allowed 646 runs. Pythagorean W-L: 87-76 5
2013 Baltimore Orioles(85-77)
Scored 745 runs, Allowed 709 runs. Pythagorean W-L: 85-77 0
New York Yankees(85-77)
Scored 650 runs, Allowed 671 runs. Pythagorean W-L: 79-83 6
Toronto Blue Jays(74-88)
Scored 712 runs, Allowed 756 runs. Pythagorean W-L: 77-85 -3
美中
Detroit Tigers (93-69)
Scored 796 runs, Allowed 624 runs. Pythagorean W-L: 99-63 -6
Cleveland Indians(92-70)
Scored 745 runs, Allowed 662 runs. Pythagorean W-L: 90-72 2
Kansas City Royals(86-76)
Scored 648 runs, Allowed 601 runs. Pythagorean W-L: 87-75 -1
Minnesota Twins (66-96)
Scored 614 runs, Allowed 788 runs. Pythagorean W-L: 63-99 3
Chicago White Sox (63-99)
Scored 598 runs, Allowed 723 runs. Pythagorean W-L: 67-95 -4
美西
Oakland Athletics(96-66)
Scored 767 runs, Allowed 625 runs. Pythagorean W-L: 96-66 0
Texas Rangers (91-72)
Scored 730 runs, Allowed 636 runs. Pythagorean W-L: 92-71 -1
Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim(78-84)
Scored 733 runs, Allowed 737 runs. Pythagorean W-L: 81-81 -3
Seattle Mariners (71-91)
Scored 624 runs, Allowed 754 runs. Pythagorean W-L: 67-95 4
Houston Astros(51-111)
Scored 610 runs, Allowed 848 runs. Pythagorean W-L: 57-105 -6
光芒比理論勝場多贏了五場,印地安人多贏了兩場,
把少贏一場的遊騎兵踢出了季後賽.....
分區冠軍倒是沒有差別。
作者: sh050562 (中肯王)   0000-00-00 00:00:00
結果洋基打最好
作者: blacklittle (傻黑)   0000-00-00 00:00:00
太空人沒有極限啊!!
作者: jenchieh5 ((」T□T)<喔~喔~喔)   0000-00-00 00:00:00
太小看觀念人的決心了
作者: mattc123456c (Matt Zhuang)   0000-00-00 00:00:00
有國聯版嗎
作者: nitrile (濃醇烈酒)   0000-00-00 00:00:00
預測得很準
作者: Danielly (蘋果蟲)   0000-00-00 00:00:00
這不是預測吧,是利用得失分算出理論勝敗
作者: patrick11108 (PPa)   0000-00-00 00:00:00
今年洋基戰績確實跌破眼鏡
作者: mygoing (高雄哪裡買calume)   0000-00-00 00:00:00
請問一下 這邊的"理論"是什麼時候開始預估的呀?
作者: mygoing (高雄哪裡買calume)   0000-00-00 00:00:00
因為以紅襪來說 應該沒人會預估打那麼好吧 怎麼會是-3
作者: maxspeed150 (聽說茉夏分手了)   0000-00-00 00:00:00
這不是預估- -單純就是用得失分推算的勝率
作者: charlie01   0000-00-00 00:00:00
欸 這個是依照最終得失分以及整季的團隊數據去推算
作者: maxspeed150 (聽說茉夏分手了)   0000-00-00 00:00:00
公式為(得分^2)/(得分^2+失分^2)
作者: charlie01   0000-00-00 00:00:00
照數字而言每隊應該的實際戰績...不是季前預估啦...
作者: mygoing (高雄哪裡買calume)   0000-00-00 00:00:00
瞭解了 謝謝.......原來這也能"推估"
作者: l60km (/hr)   0000-00-00 00:00:00
這數據若是+的,是否說明該隊本季比較「幸運」?

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