以下快速翻譯,有錯請指正
http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/victor-martinez-is-one-of-a-kind/
Victor Martinez has been the best hitter in baseball this season.
今年打者裡面,V罵最強
Granted, that’s just an opinion that I’ve presented as fact, but he has a
strong case. The strongest part of his case is that, at the time of this
writing, he leads the MLB in both wOBA (.412) and wRC+ (167). There aren’t
any better hitting metrics than those two, but in case you want more
evidence, he’s also second in batting average (.337), first in on-base
percentage (.407), second in slugging percentage (.575), 10th in isolated
slugging percentage (.238) and second in total batting value behind only Mike
Trout, thanks to a disparity of plate appearances. Victor Martinez has the
same total batting value as Giancarlo Stanton and he’s come up to the plate
56 fewer times. That’s how good he’s been. He’s been so good, some have
tossed his name around in the MVP discussion, despite serving primarily as a
designated hitter. A DH has never won the MVP award.
當然啦,這是我的個人意見,但是他真得很強啊。以他來說,最屌的是,到寫這篇文章
的當下,他的wOBA和wRC+是MLB最高的。沒有什麼比這兩個數據更好的指標了啦,但為
了讓你更了解,他打擊率全聯盟第二,上壘率最高,長打率第二,純長打率第十,然後
Total Batting Value(這個怎麼翻還請大家幫忙)只排在阿鱒後面,因為打數比他少。
V罵的total batting value跟Stanton一樣,但是他的PA少了Stanton56個。這就是他有
多強的證據。盡管他主要打DH,他這一季威到還是成為MVP的人選之一。從來沒有DH拿過
MVP的喔。
But he has been much more than just a great hitter. He has been a downright
fascinating hitter. One thing that really jumps out when looking at his
numbers are his walks and strikeouts. He has the lowest strikeout rate in the
MLB, at 6.5%. He also has a 10.7% walk rate. No other player in baseball has
walked more than they’ve struck out this year. Victor has 22 more walks than
strikeouts (not including his league-leading 25 intentional walks). His
strikeouts and walks, as well as his still-elite bat speed, are things I
touched upon when I wrote about Martinez for this site back in May. But that’
s in the past. The contents of that post were remarkable because of the
circumstances, e.g. his age, injuries and past as a catcher. The content that
follows in this post is remarkable because of its place in history.
看他的數據的時候,保送和三振的次數很顯眼。他的被三振率是MLB最低的,只有6.5%,
然後他的保送率是10.7%。今年沒有其他人的保送比三振還多,唯有V罵的保送比三振還
多了22次,還沒有算到他全聯盟領先的25次IBB喔。五月的時候我寫了一篇文講他的三振
保送和揮棒速度,以他的年紀、傷病史和長期蹲捕來說真的不簡單。今天我要談的之所以
屌,是因為在歷史上地位特殊。
Martinez is currently running an 89% O-Contact rate, meaning nearly 90% of
his swings at pitches outside the strike zone result in contact. That’s the
highest mark in the league and it’s not even close. Only seven qualified
batters are over 80%. Number two is Nick Markakis, nearly five full
percentage points below Martinez. After Markakis are Jose Altuve, Dustin
Pedroia, Denard Span and Kurt Suzuki. You may have noticed something about
that list of names after Martinez. None of them hit for any power. The
highest isolated slugging percentage to come from that group this year is
actually Denard Span and his four home runs. Guys who make a habit of hitting
pitches outside the strike zone are, more often than not, slapping them the
other way. Martinez is absolutely crushing them.
V罵現在的O-Contact率有89%,表示好球帶外的球,他揮擊碰到的機率有九成。這是全
聯盟最高,而且大幅領先其他人。只有七個人達到80%以上,排名第二的Markakis還差他
將近五個百分點。其他人分別是Altuve、Pedroia、Span和鈴木清。注意到了嗎,除了
V罵之外,這個名單上的人都沒什麼長程火力,純長打率最高的是Span和他的四轟。習慣
去打好球帶以外的球的人呢,總是比較常把球掃到反方向,但V罵絕對是幹爆棒球。
We have PITCHf/x data dating back to 2007. Since then, Martinez doesn’t
quite have the highest O-Contact%, but it’s close. He definitely doesn’t
have the highest ISO. But when you put the two together, Martinez is in a
league of his own.
我們的PITCHf/x數據可以回溯到2007年。從那時候開始,V罵並不總有著最高的O-contact
率,但也差不多了;他的純長打率絕對不是最高的,但是當你把這兩個數據擺在一起,
V罵就只能跟自己玩了。
Since 2007, there have been 1,193 qualified hitter-seasons. In an attempt to
compare Martinez only to his peers, I’ve weeded out all hitters who fall
outside the top 10% in O-Contact, leaving me with the 119 highest O-Contact
rates since the beginning of the PITCHf/x era. Then, I plotted them against
their ISO. You didn’t need the red text to identify where Martinez falls:
2007年來,我們總共有1193個打者球季當樣本,但為了跟V罵有效比較,我把O-Contact率
最好的前百分之十挑出來,得到了PITCHf/x時代以來O-Contact率最高的119的打者,然後
呢我再加上相對應的純長打率,得到這個圖。其實根本不用特別用紅字標註,就找得到
V罵了啦!
(圖:http://goo.gl/ivmvw9,X軸代表好球帶外的contact率,Y軸是純長打率)
I’ve included the names of a few other outliers to help put this into
perspective. Victor Martinez is making contact with pitches outside the zone
like Juan Pierre and getting results like Troy Tulowitzki. It’s not totally
unprecedented for him, either, as his 2010 season was the previous benchmark
for high O-Contact, high power production, but this season truly stands out
above the rest.
我加上了幾個離群值的球員名字好讓大家更了解。V罵在好球帶以外的contact率跟黃皮爺
差不多,但他的打擊表現跟Tulo相似。今年可不是他空前的一年,2010年他也是高ISO又高
O-contact率的,只是這一個球季的數據確實比其他球季更加凸出。
And it’s not like he’s particularly patient with which pitches he chases.
His O-Swing rate is 33%, meaning he has chased pitches out of the zone at the
exact same rate as Ryan Howard this year. Of those top 119 O-Contact seasons
since 2007, you have to go all the way down to Ichiro at No. 21 to find
someone with a higher O-Swing% than Martinez. If you can pull off the “swing
at everything, make contact with everything, crush everything” approach –
that’s usually a good strategy.
但也並不是說他對於他想追打的壞球特別有耐心喔。他的好球帶以外的追打率高達33%,
跟今年的Ryan Howard一模一樣。在119的樣本裡面,要一直到O-Contact率第21名的Ichiro
才找得到比V罵更高的O-Swing率。如果你真的可以做到「通通揮,每球都打到,然後每球
都尻出去」這樣的事情,那通常都會成功。
Where does the league’s best “bad-ball hitter” do the brunt of his damage?
Mostly low-and-away:
聯盟中,大多數的「壞球打者」都是在哪裡打得好?大部分都是外角和低球。
(原文有V罵打的壞球的位置的圖,請自行前往)
Of the 30 lowest pitches hit for home runs this season, Martinez is
responsible for four of them. No other hitter can say that. Much has been
made of Mike Trout’s ability to crush the low ball, and even he only has
three. Pablo Sandoval and Scooter Gennett each have two.
今年被尻出牆的最低的30顆球裡面,有四支是V罵打的。大家都說阿鱒很會打低球,但是
他也只打了三支。Sandoval和Gennett各打了兩支。
(有三張V罵尻低球出牆的gif請大家自行前往原文連結欣賞)
But when it comes to doing damage on pitches outside the strike zone, it’s
not like he’s limited to the low ones. Martinez is also responsible for the
14th-highest pitch hit for a home run this season:
As well as the eighth-most inside pitch for a homer against a left-handed
batter:
V罵可不是只會打低的壞球。他也尻了被打出全壘打的第十四高的球和第八內角的球
(GIF在原文)
No pitch is safe against Victor Martinez.
沒什麼他打不出去的球啦。
Here’s one more little Victor nugget before we go: Martinez has hit seven
home runs off pitches outside the strike zone this year. Of those seven, four
have come in an 0-2 count. No other player in baseball has hit four home runs
off any pitch in an 0-2 count this season, ball or strike. Look up. The
second gif came in an 0-2 count. The fourth gif, even though the broadcast
displayed it incorrectly, came in an 0-2 count. Even when you get ahead of
Martinez 0-2 and throw him a good 0-2 pitch, he can still do damage against
you. It’s not over until it’s over.
還沒完哩。V罵今年已經打了七支好球帶以外的全壘打。這七支裡面,有四支是在兩好球
沒有壞球的時候打的。今年沒有任何一個其他球員可以在這種球數打四支全壘打的,不管
來的是好球壞球都一樣。第二張gif是兩好零壞,第四張圖轉播單位搞錯了,也是兩好零
壞。就算你對V罵投到兩好零壞,而且你自以為已經投了個這個球數下夠好的球了,他還是
可以尻爆你。
To wrap this up, here are the things that make Victor Martinez one of a kind:
Lowest strikeout rate in baseball
Only player in baseball to walk more than he strikes out, could strike out in
21 consecutive plate appearances and still be true
Highest O-Contact rate in baseball by five percentage points
Abnormally high O-Swing rate, given O-Contact rate
Totally unprecedented combination of elite O-Contact and elite ISO
More home runs on pitches less than 16 inches above the ground than anyone in
baseball
More home runs on balls in 0-2 counts than anyone has on balls+strikes in 0-2
counts
總結一下,這些是V罵自己獨立一國的事蹟
聯盟最低三振率的打者
唯一一個保送比三振多的打者。他現在就算被連續三振21次,這個敘述還是成立。
最高的O-Contact率,比第二名多五趴
以這O-Contact率來說,反常地高的O-Swing率
O-Contact率和純長打率加起來看,前不見古人地優秀
比離地16吋還低的低球當中,打出了最多的全壘打
兩好零壞時,對壞球打出的全壘打比任何人在兩好零壞的全壘打還多。別人還可以把好球
算進去喔!