這是權威網站Fangrpahs的主筆Dave Cameron每年的固定特輯
Dave一向很會寫這種吸引眼球的文章,他很知道要寫什麼東西能夠讓有點死氣沈沈的
數據網站看起來很有討論性和話題性
我原本有點想把這50大球星通通都翻譯,可是想一想太累了...
既然叫2017 Trade Value,顧名思義就是以今年來看最有交易價值的球員排行
所以當然不是指這些人2017年會被交易,而是單純娛樂性的來看這些人在Trade上面的
Value(好像在寫廢話)
因此他一開始有寫遊戲規則,像是Joey Votto這種超強但是已經簽了又長又大的約的
球員就不會出現在此名單中
另外他也列了一些球星沒在名單中的:
Players Not Returning From 2016 Trade Value List
2016 Rank Player Position Reason
10 Bryce Harper OF Impending Free Agency
11 Manny Machado 3B Impending Free Agency
14 Josh Donaldson 3B Impending Free Agency
17 Jose Fernandez SP Death
24 Gregory Polanco OF Performance
29 Starling Marte OF PED Suspension
33 Nomar Mazara OF Performance
34 Danny Salazar OF Injury
35 Gerrit Cole SP Performance
36 Julio Urias SP Injury
39 J.P. Crawford SS Performance
41 Lucas Giolito SP Performance
42 Trevor Story SS Performance
43 Joc Pederson OF Injury
44 Salvador Perez C Performance
45 Julio Teheran SP Performance
46 Alex Reyes SP Injury
48 Rougned Odor 2B Performance
前三個超級巨星即將投入FA,所以沒有「Trade Value」,這意思應該很好理解
後面幾個像有人過世的、或是今年實在打太爛的,就變成遺珠
另外他又補了這幾個名單也是遺珠:
Brandon Belt, 1B, San Francisco
Matt Carpenter, IF, St. Louis
Brandon Crawford, SS, San Francisco
Daniel Murphy, 2B, Washington
Kyle Seager, 3B, Seattle
Andrelton Simmons, SS, Anaheim
Eric Thames, 1B, Milwaukee
Justin Turner, 3B, 3B, Los Angeles
這些人都非常強,今年也都打得很猛,但相當明顯的這些人受限於年紀,
比較沒有什麼必要排進榜單中
Adam Eaton, CF, Washington
Kevin Kiermaier, CF, Tampa Bay
Sean Manaea, SP, Oakland
Steven Matz, SP, New York
Carlos Rodon, SP, Chicago
Alex Wood, SP, Los Angeles
這些遺珠又是因為一直受傷,所以作者不想排進去
Ronald Acuna, OF, Atlanta
Rafael Devers, 3B, Boston
Vladimir Guerrero Jr., 3B, Toronto
Amed Rosario, SS, New York
Gleyber Torres, SS, New York
這個遺珠名單則叫做”maybe next year"
原因更好懂就不解釋了
還有一個人,完全獨立於所有遺珠名單之外,他叫做柯蕭:
The Clayton Kershaw Group
Clayton Kershaw, SP, Los Angeles
因為柯蕭本身已經在領超過30M的頂約,所以幾乎不可能被「交易」出去
加上他又有opt-out,所以看起來明年會變自由球員
名單開始
#50 — Jake Lamb, ARZ, 3B
Team Control WAR Total +8.0
Guaranteed Dollars –
Team Control Through 2020
Previous Rank #47
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 27 +2.6 Arb1
2019 28 +2.7 Arb2
2020 29 +2.6 Arb3
#49 — Aaron Nola, PHI, P
Team Control WAR Total +12.4
Guaranteed Dollars –
Team Control Through 2021
Previous Rank –
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 25 +2.9 Pre-Arb
2019 26 +3.2 Arb1
2020 27 +3.3 Arb2
2021 28 +3.0 Arb3
#48 — James Paxton, SEA, P
Team Control WAR Total +8.5
Guaranteed Dollars –
Team Control Through 2020
Previous Rank –
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 29 +2.8 Arb2
2019 30 +2.9 Arb3
2020 31 +2.8 Arb4
#47 — Marcus Stroman, TOR, P
Team Control WAR Total +7.2
Guaranteed Dollars –
Team Control Through 2020
Previous Rank –
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 27 +2.2 Arb2
2019 28 +2.5 Arb3
2020 29 +2.5 Arb4
#46 — Jackie Bradley Jr., BOS, OF
Team Control WAR Total +8.9
Guaranteed Dollars –
Team Control Through 2020
Previous Rank #28
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 28 +3.2 Arb2
2019 29 +2.9 Arb3
2020 30 +2.8 Arb4
#45 — Xander Bogaerts, BOS, SS
Team Control WAR Total +7.4
Guaranteed Dollars –
Team Control Through 2019
Previous Rank #20
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 25 +3.8 Arb2
2019 26 +3.6 Arb3
#44 — Anthony Rendon, WAS, 2B/3B
Team Control WAR Total +8.6
Guaranteed Dollars –
Team Control Through 2019
Previous Rank –
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 28 +4.4 Arb3
2019 29 +4.2 Arb4
#43 — Robbie Ray, ARZ, P
Team Control WAR Total +10.6
Guaranteed Dollars –
Team Control Through 2020
Previous Rank –
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 26 +3.4 Arb1
2019 27 +3.5 Arb2
2020 28 +3.7 Arb3
#42 — Jose Quintana, CHW, P
Team Control WAR Total +11.2
Guaranteed Dollars $8.8 M
Team Control Through 2020
Previous Rank #25
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 29 +3.8 $8.8 M
2019 30 +3.8 $10.5 M
2020 31 +3.6 $10.5 M
#41 — Yoan Moncada, CHW, 2B
Five-Year WAR +16.3
Guaranteed Dollars –
Team Control Through TBD
Previous Rank #26
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 23 +2.2 Pre-Arb
2019 24 +3.1 Pre-Arb
2020 25 +3.6 Pre-Arb
2021 26 +3.6 Arb1
2022 27 +3.8 Arb2
#40 — Addison Russell, CHC, SS
Team Control WAR Total +17.7
Guaranteed Dollars –
Team Control Through 2021
Previous Rank #31
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 24 +4.2 Arb1
2019 25 +4.6 Arb2
2020 26 +4.5 Arb3
2021 27 +4.5 Arb4
#39 — Ender Inciarte, ATL, OF
Five-Year WAR +17.3
Guaranteed Dollars $24.0 M
Team Control Through 2022
Previous Rank –
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 27 +3.7 $4.0 M
2019 28 +3.5 $5.0 M
2020 29 +3.4 $7.0 M
2021 30 +3.4 $8.0 M
2022 31 +3.3 $9.0 M
#38 — Alex Bregman, HOU, 3B
Five-Year WAR +19.0
Guaranteed Dollars –
Team Control Through 2022
Previous Rank #37
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 24 +3.5 Pre-Arb
2019 25 +3.8 Pre-Arb
2020 26 +3.8 Arb1
2021 27 +3.8 Arb2
2022 28 +4.0 Arb3
#37 — Jacob deGrom, NYM, P
Team Control WAR Total +9.0
Guaranteed Dollars –
Team Control Through 2020
Previous Rank #22
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 30 +3.2 Arb2
2019 31 +3.0 Arb3
2020 32 +2.8 Arb4
#36 — Jameson Taillon, PIT, P
Five-Year WAR +11.4
Guaranteed Dollars –
Team Control Through 2022
Previous Rank –
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 26 +2.2 Pre-Arb
2019 27 +2.4 Pre-Arb
2020 28 +2.3 Arb1
2021 29 +2.3 Arb2
2022 30 +2.2 Arb3
#35 — Luis Severino, NYY, P
Five-Year WAR +14.5
Guaranteed Dollars –
Team Control Through 2022
Previous Rank –
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 24 +2.5 Pre-Arb
2019 25 +2.9 Arb1
2020 26 +3.1 Arb2
2021 27 +3.1 Arb3
2022 28 +2.8 Arb4
#34 — Noah Syndergaard, NYM, P
Team Control WAR Total +19.6
Guaranteed Dollars –
Team Control Through 2021
Previous Rank #12
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 25 +4.7 Arb1
2019 26 +4.9 Arb2
2020 27 +5.0 Arb3
2021 28 +5.0 Arb4
#33 — Max Scherzer, WAS, P
Team Control WAR Total +19.8
Guaranteed Dollars $120.0 M
Team Control Through 2021
Previous Rank –
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 33 +5.5 $15.0 M
2019 34 +5.1 $35.0 M
2020 35 +4.6 $35.0 M
2021 36 +4.6 $35.0 M
#32 — Madison Bumgarner, SF, P
Team Control WAR Total +10.5
Guaranteed Dollars –
Team Control Through 2019
Previous Rank #16
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 28 +5.2 $12.0 M
2019 29 +5.2 $12.0 M
#31 — Nolan Arenado, COL, 3B
Team Control WAR Total +9.9
Guaranteed Dollars $17.8 M
Team Control Through 2019
Previous Rank #8
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 27 +4.9 $17.8 M
2019 28 +5.0 Arb4
#30 — Jon Gray, COL, P
Team Control WAR Total +13.9
Guaranteed Dollars –
Team Control Through 2021
Previous Rank #49
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 26 +3.2 Pre-Arb
2019 27 +3.5 Arb1
2020 28 +3.6 Arb2
2021 29 +3.6 Arb3
#29 — Lance McCullers, HOU, P
Team Control WAR Total +12.7
Guaranteed Dollars –
Team Control Through 2021
Previous Rank #40
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 24 +3.0 Arb1
2019 25 +3.2 Arb2
2020 26 +3.3 Arb3
2021 27 +3.3 Arb4
#28 — Carlos Carrasco, CLE, P
Team Control WAR Total +13.4
Guaranteed Dollars $14.5 M
Team Control Through 2021
Previous Rank #27
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 31 +3.7 $6.5 M
2019 32 +3.4 $8.0 M
2020 33 +3.2 $9.0 M
2021 34 +3.2 $9.5 M
#27 — Christian Yelich, MIA, OF
Five-Year WAR +17.3
Guaranteed Dollars $43.3 M
Team Control Through 2022
Previous Rank #23
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 26 +3.6 $7.0 M
2019 27 +3.5 $9.8 M
2020 28 +3.5 $12.5 M
2021 29 +3.5 $14.0 M
2022 30 +3.2 $15.0 M
#26 — Andrew Benintendi, BOS, OF
Five-Year WAR +14.4
Guaranteed Dollars –
Team Control Through 2022
Previous Rank #38
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 23 +2.2 Pre-Arb
2019 24 +2.9 Pre-Arb
2020 25 +3.1 Arb1
2021 26 +3.1 Arb2
2022 27 +3.1 Arb3
#25 — Miguel Sano, MIN, 3B/DH
Team Control WAR Total +11.9
Guaranteed Dollars –
Team Control Through 2021
Previous Rank #32
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 25 +2.9 Pre-Arb
2019 26 +3.0 Arb1
2020 27 +3.0 Arb2
2021 28 +3.0 Arb3
#24 — Jose Altuve, HOU, 2B
Team Control WAR Total +10.9
Guaranteed Dollars –
Team Control Through 2019
Previous Rank #13
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 28 +5.8 $6.0 M
2019 29 +5.1 $6.5 M
#23 — Paul Goldschmidt, ARZ, 1B
Team Control WAR Total +9.4
Guaranteed Dollars $11.0 M
Team Control Through 2019
Previous Rank #9
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 30 +4.8 $11.0 M
2019 31 +4.6 $14.5 M
#22 — Michael Fulmer, DET, P
Five-Year WAR +19.4
Guaranteed Dollars –
Team Control Through 2022
Previous Rank –
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 25 +3.7 Pre-Arb
2019 26 +3.9 Arb1
2020 27 +4.1 Arb2
2021 28 +4.1 Arb3
2022 29 +3.7 Arb4
Pre-Arb Arb
#21 — Chris Sale, BOS, P
Team Control WAR Total +12.2
Guaranteed Dollars –
Team Control Through 2019
Previous Rank #15
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 29 +6.1 $12.5 M
2019 30 +6.2 $15.0 M
#20 — Michael Conforto, NYM, OF
Team Control WAR Total +14.7
Guaranteed Dollars –
Team Control Through 2021
Previous Rank –
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 25 +3.8 Pre-Arb
2019 26 +3.6 Arb1
2020 27 +3.7 Arb2
2021 28 +3.7 Arb3
#19 — Willson Contreras, CHC, C
Five-Year WAR +15.8
Guaranteed Dollars –
Team Control Through 2022
Previous Rank –
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 26 +3.2 Pre-Arb
2019 27 +3.3 Pre-Arb
2020 28 +3.2 Arb1
2021 29 +3.2 Arb2
2022 30 +3.0 Arb3
#18 — George Springer, HOU, OF
Team Control WAR Total +10.0
Guaranteed Dollars –
Team Control Through 2020
Previous Rank #30
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 28 +3.5 Arb2
2019 29 +3.4 Arb3
2020 30 +3.2 Arb4
#17 — Buster Posey, SF, C
Five-Year WAR +21.3
Guaranteed Dollars $85.6 M
Team Control Through 2022
Previous Rank #19
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 31 +5.1 $21.4 M
2019 32 +4.6 $21.4 M
2020 33 +4.1 $21.4 M
2021 34 +4.1 $21.4 M
2022 35 +3.5 $22.0 M
#16 — Chris Archer, TB, P
Team Control WAR Total +15.5
Guaranteed Dollars $13.8 M
Team Control Through 2021
Previous Rank #21
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 29 +4.1 $6.3 M
2019 30 +3.9 $7.5 M
2020 31 +3.8 $9.0 M
2021 32 +3.8 $11.0 M
#15 — Jose Ramirez, CLE, 3B
Five-Year WAR +19.5
Guaranteed Dollars $21.4 M
Team Control Through 2023
Previous Rank –
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 25 +3.8 $2.4 M
2019 26 +3.8 $3.8 M
2020 27 +3.9 $6.2 M
2021 28 +3.9 $9.0 M
2022 29 +4.1 $11.0 M
#14 — Freddie Freeman, ATL, 1B
Team Control WAR Total +17.4
Guaranteed Dollars $86.0 M
Team Control Through 2021
Previous Rank –
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 28 +4.5 $21.0 M
2019 29 +4.4 $21.0 M
2020 30 +4.3 $22.0 M
2021 31 +4.3 $22.0 M
#13 — Carlos Martinez, STL, P
Five-Year WAR +21.1
Guaranteed Dollars $46.0 M
Team Control Through 2023
Previous Rank #50
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 26 +4.2 $11.5 M
2019 27 +4.3 $11.5 M
2020 28 +4.4 $11.5 M
2021 29 +4.4 $11.5 M
2022 30 +3.9 $17.5 M
#12 — Gary Sanchez, NYY, C
Five-Year WAR +21.3
Guaranteed Dollars –
Team Control Through 2022
Previous Rank –
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 25 +4.0 Pre-Arb
2019 26 +4.1 Pre-Arb
2020 27 +4.4 Arb1
2021 28 +4.4 Arb2
2022 29 +4.5 Arb3
#11 — Cody Bellinger, LAD, 1B/OF
Five-Year WAR +19.1
Guaranteed Dollars –
Team Control Through 2023
Previous Rank –
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 22 +2.3 Pre-Arb
2019 23 +3.3 Pre-Arb
2020 24 +4.4 Arb1
2021 25 +4.4 Arb2
2022 26 +4.6 Arb3
#10 — Corey Kluber, CLE, P
Team Control WAR Total +19.4
Guaranteed Dollars $23.5 M
Team Control Through 2021
Previous Rank #18
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 32 +5.4 $10.5 M
2019 33 +5.0 $13.0 M
2020 34 +4.5 $13.5 M
2021 35 +4.5 $14.0 M
很好理解,正值顛峰,賽揚成績,然後約又很不貴
他的這種表現,領的卻是Josh Reddick的薪水...
#9 — Mookie Betts, BOS, OF
Team Control WAR Total +17.4
Guaranteed Dollars –
Team Control Through 2020
Previous Rank #7
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 25 +6.0 Arb1
2019 26 +5.8 Arb2
2020 27 +5.6 Arb3
Dave一直都很喜歡Betts,即便Betts今年的目前的成績不像超級球星
Betts很全能,所以他的WAR很亮眼又很穩定,又靠杯年輕
#8 — Anthony Rizzo, CHC, 1B
Team Control WAR Total +21.1
Guaranteed Dollars $19.0 M
Team Control Through 2021
Previous Rank #6
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 28 +5.7 $7.0 M
2019 29 +5.4 $12.0 M
2020 30 +5.0 $16.5 M
2021 31 +5.0 $16.5 M
年輕又有領導氣質、很有魅力的一壘手
他截至目前為止的傳統數據如OPS+看起來沒有到非常猛的地步,但是一個字:穩
而且守備超好,導致WAR每年都很穩定的高,今年也才27歲
他的打擊形態和守備基本就是「穩」,Dave看好他未來巔峰這幾年,年年WAR都能破5
這就是為什麼他的打擊傳統數據或許沒有Freeman和Goldschmidt誇張,但排名比這
二人高,不要忘了他接下來4年多的薪水只有52M,對比一下他的表現吧
#7 — Trea Turner, WAS, SS
Five-Year WAR +21.6
Guaranteed Dollars –
Team Control Through 2022
Previous Rank –
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 25 +4.4 Pre-Arb
2019 26 +4.4 Arb1
2020 27 +4.3 Arb2
2021 28 +4.3 Arb3
2022 29 +4.2 Arb4
有點驚人的第七名名字,Dave超級喜歡他。本來在農場就是超大物
被認為是新一代刷WAR的機器,他去年半季才上大聯盟,才打70幾場比賽就被他刷出
破3的WAR,很容易讓人幻想完整球季能破6吧?一個24歲的游擊手,未來無限
所以即便他今年正遇上二年級生小撞牆,但還在領50幾萬年薪的Turner整個Value
變超高
#6 — Aaron Judge, NYY, OF
Five-Year WAR +20.9
Guaranteed Dollars –
Team Control Through 2022
Previous Rank –
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 26 +4.2 Pre-Arb
2019 27 +4.1 Pre-Arb
2020 28 +4.3 Arb1
2021 29 +4.3 Arb2
2022 30 +4.0 Arb3
不知道這個人還要不要介紹,還在領50幾萬年薪,打的卻是MVP級的成績
要不是因為守備或速度方面的tool不算很強,不然感覺會排更前面
不過本來在這之前就沒人看好Judge居然會打成這樣,所以未來還很難說
排在第六名應該可以
#5 — Francisco Lindor, CLE, SS
Team Control WAR Total +24.0
Guaranteed Dollars –
Team Control Through 2021
Previous Rank #5
Year Age Projected WAR Contract Status
2018 24 +5.8 Pre-Arb
2019 25 +5.8 Arb1
2020 26 +6.2 Arb2
2021 27 +6.2 Arb3
雖然本季有一段超長的slump期,WRC+一度只有75
但是倫家才23歲,看看他現在拿多少薪水、他的約、還有他過去的成績、他的tool評價
還有他目前在低潮過後快速上修中的樣子