一、新聞來源:
MLB
二、新聞標題:(中文翻譯從第11頁開始)
(1) Predicting the toughest qualifying offer decisions
(2) 5 players who might jump at a qualifying offer
三、新聞內容:
(1) By Mike Petriello MLB.com @mike_petriello Oct. 29th, 2018
作者自誇去年預測結果全命中XD
Before we can get to the fun of trades and free agency, we have to get one
piece of bookkeeping out of the way: qualifying offers. That's the process
when teams must decide whether to extend a one-year, $17.9 million contract
to eligible free agents; the offers must come within five days of the end of
the World Series (deadline is Friday at 5 p.m. ET), and the players who
receive them have 10 days to accept or reject the offer. If they turn it down
and sign elsewhere, their former team can gain some compensation in return.
For the most part, the drama is in who receives an offer, not who accepts
one. In the six previous offseasons with this system in place, there have
been 73 qualifying offers issued, and only five (Brett Anderson, Jeremy
Hellickson, Neil Walker, Colby Rasmus and Matt Wieters) have accepted them.
That said, last year we saw what difficulty players like Alex Cobb, Mike
Moustakas, Greg Holland and Lance Lynn had in the market after turning down
an offer. Will that affect decisions this year?
Either way, there are some very interesting names out there this year. So
just as we did last year, let's make some predictions of who will receive one
and what they'll do with it. (Last year, we predicted nine offers would be
extended, and all would be declined. We went 9-for-9.)
For our purposes, we're assuming that players with opt-out clauses like
Clayton Kershaw and David Price will remain with their current team, though
they are eligible to receive the offer if they don't.
Not eligible due to trades
Only players who spent the entire year with the same team are eligible to
receive an offer, so players like Manny Machado, Andrew McCutchen, Zach
Britton, Nathan Eovaldi, Josh Donaldson, Matt Harvey, Brian Dozier, J.A. Happ
and Wilson Ramos aren't part of the discussion.
Not eligible due to previous qualifying offers
Players may only receive the offer once, so Nelson Cruz, Walker, David
Robertson and Daniel Murphy (who was traded this year anyway) won't be
receiving another.
Obvious offers, definitely getting declined
OF Bryce Harper, Nationals
SP Patrick Corbin, D-backs
There's not much to discuss here. Harper, like Machado, is a generational
talent who is going to get a record-shattering contract. The Nationals will
give him the offer just for the compensation, with no expectation he'd
actually take it. (He won't.) Corbin is the best pitcher available on the
market. One note: There is a chance Washington could re-sign Harper, in which
case Draft-pick compensation would not be a factor, but it's hard to see
Arizona bringing Corbin back.
Likely non-offers
OF Adam Jones, Orioles; C Jonathan Lucroy, A's; 3B Adrian Beltre, Rangers; RP
Cody Allen, Indians; RP Adam Ottavino, Rockies; OF Carlos Gonzalez, Rockies;
2B DJ LeMahieu, Rockies; SS Freddy Galvis, Padres; OF Nick Markakis, Braves;
SP CC Sabathia, Yankees; OF Lonnie Chisenhall, Indians; RP Justin Wilson,
Cubs; DH Evan Gattis, Astros; IF Daniel Descalso, D-backs; Marwin Gonzalez,
Astros
It's not that these players aren't good, of course. We just wrote about how
Ottavino is likely to hit it relatively big this offseason. Most will get
jobs and many will add value in 2019, but if offered $17.9 million for next
year, each of these players