[新聞] 烏克蘭對俄羅斯開辟新戰線——奉承川普

作者: washwall (Ddd )   2025-01-19 20:22:05
作者:索菲· 坦諾(Sophie Tanno)和瑪麗亞· 科斯滕科(Maria Kostenko),CNN
發表時間:2025年1月19日,美東時間上午5:03
CNN —
自唐納德· 川普(Donald Trump)再次當選美國總統後,全球領導人紛紛努力獲取他的青?
,其中尤以烏克蘭最為明顯。
在他的年度新年講話中,烏克蘭總統弗拉基米爾· 澤倫斯基(Volodymyr Zelensky)表示?
他「毫不懷疑新任美國總統有意願和能力實現和平,結束普丁的侵略行為」,這些言論體現
了他贏得川普支持的策略。
幾天後,澤倫斯基在接受美國播客主持人採訪時表示,川普之所以勝選,是因為他比卡瑪拉
· 哈里斯(Kamala Harris)更「強大」,並補充道,「他在智力和體力上都表現出色。」
澤倫斯基並非唯一一位試圖討好川普的烏克蘭知名人士。根據《基輔獨立報》獲悉的一封信
,澤倫斯基所屬黨派的一名烏克蘭議員甚至在去年十一月提名川普獲得諾貝爾和平獎。
此類策略長期以來受到外國勢力的青睞。回想中國如何帶領川普參觀紫禁城,或英國政府在
他上任最後一任期內動員皇室成員協助白宮事務,都是典型例子。
這並非烏克蘭的新做法。正如2019年CNN一篇意見文章所稱的「教科書式的奉承」,澤倫斯
基在那次臭名昭著的通話中稱川普為「偉大的老師」,當時這位當時的第一任總統督促烏克
蘭調查喬· 拜登(Joe Biden)及其兒子亨特(Hunter)的事宜。
多年後,對烏克蘭來說,賭注無疑更高。基輔在2025年開局不利,與俄羅斯的戰爭中,烏克
蘭部隊在東部地區努力抵抗俄軍的進攻,數量上大幅處於劣勢。短期內收復被俄占領領土的
希望日益渺茫。
在拜登總統卸任期間,美國成為對烏克蘭提供軍事援助的最大單一國家,基輔深知必須維持
與川普的良好關係,以確保未來的支持。
「以實力換和平」
「不幸的是,澤倫斯基沒有奢侈的餘地去對川普抱持敵意,」歐洲外交關係委員會(Europe
an Council on Foreign Relations)的政策研究員喬安娜· 霍薩(Joanna Hosa)告訴CNN
「他至少必須努力爭取川普站在烏克蘭這邊,以確保對烏克蘭最有利的結果,這在很大程度
上依賴於美國的支持。」
川普一再強調結束俄羅斯在烏克蘭的戰爭的必要性,暗示談判可能即將展開。他的特使提出
的結束戰爭計劃包含了許多令克里姆林宮滿意的內容。
澤倫斯基表示,他希望「直接與新總統合作」,並顯得更願意——或許是別無選擇——做出
戰場上的讓步。
當然,烏克蘭希望能夠收復所有失地。然而,經過三年的這場疲憊戰爭,全面收復所有失地
已無望。霍薩表示,「烏克蘭人帶著沉重的心情,正在慢慢接受這一現實。」
澤倫斯基經常形容川普為堅強,顯然是為了迎合這位以「以實力換和平」為口號的新任總統

「川普可能至關重要。我認為這對我們來說是最重要的。他的特質就是這樣。他在這場戰爭
中能夠果斷行動。他能阻止普丁,」澤倫斯基本月早些時候在烏克蘭戰時電視網「聯合新聞
」上告訴CNN。
倫敦智庫查塔姆學會(Chatham House)俄羅斯與歐亞項目副主任奧里西婭· 盧采維奇(Or
ia Lutsevych)認為,澤倫斯基的讚美大多是真誠的。她告訴CNN:「我認為他真心相信川
普可以採取果斷行動,這是希望的來源,不僅在澤倫斯基的心中,在整個烏克蘭也是如此。

利益一致
另一個因素是,與之前的美國政府不同,川普從根本上相信他可以與俄羅斯領導人弗拉基米
爾· 普丁(Vladimir Putin)建立良好關係。他長期表達對普丁的欽佩,而其他世界領導?
則對他避而遠之,並承諾在上任後「非常迅速」地與普丁會面。
普丁方面——拜登曾譴責他為「屠夫」——似乎也願意與川普建立關係。在川普當選後,普
丁向他表示祝賀,稱他為「勇敢的人」。在去年年底的新聞發布會上,他表示已準備好與川
普會面。
即便俄羅斯被帶到談判桌,仍有理由相信其承諾不可信。正如CNN的首席國際安全記者尼克?
帕頓· 沃爾什(Nick Paton Walsh)指出,莫斯科此前對烏克蘭的和平承諾被認為是欺詐?
任何潛在的停火可能僅名義上存在。
盧采維奇認為,烏克蘭政府試圖將基輔對莫斯科的失敗描繪為加強美國在世界舞台上的「權
力投射」。
「這就是遊戲規則;川普是否會相信這是一個可行的策略,則是另一個問題,」她說。
澤倫斯基還提出了其他利益。去年十月,他提出在俄羅斯對烏戰爭結束後,用烏克蘭部隊取
代部分駐紮在歐洲的美軍。他認為,基輔部隊的戰時經驗可以派上用場,增強北約——烏克
蘭已獲得加入北約的保證——並有助於確保歐洲的安全,這可能吸引一位要求歐洲在防務上
做出更多貢獻的美國領導人。
澤倫斯基還迎合了川普以商業為重的思維。他所謂的「勝利計劃」(Victory Plan),去年
十月公布,其中包括與美國在礦產資源上的重大協議——烏克蘭擁有豐富的關鍵資源。
普丁方面——拜登曾譴責他為「屠夫」——似乎也願意與川普建立關係。在川普當選後,普
丁向他表示祝賀,稱他為「勇敢的人」。在去年年底的新聞發布會上,他表示已準備好與川
普會面。
即便俄羅斯被帶到談判桌,仍有理由相信其承諾不可信。正如CNN的首席國際安全記者尼克?
帕頓· 沃爾什(Nick Paton Walsh)指出,莫斯科此前對烏克蘭的和平承諾被認為是欺詐?
任何潛在的停火可能僅名義上存在。
盧采維奇認為,烏克蘭政府試圖將基輔對莫斯科的失敗描繪為加強美國在世界舞台上的「權
力投射」。
「這就是遊戲規則;川普是否會相信這是一個可行的策略,則是另一個問題,」她說。
澤倫斯基還提出了其他利益。去年十月,他提出在俄羅斯對烏戰爭結束後,用烏克蘭部隊取
代部分駐紮在歐洲的美軍。他認為,基輔部隊的戰時經驗可以派上用場,增強北約——烏克
蘭已獲得加入北約的保證——並有助於確保歐洲的安全,這可能吸引一位要求歐洲在防務上
做出更多貢獻的美國領導人。
澤倫斯基還迎合了川普以商業為重的思維。他所謂的「勝利計劃」(Victory Plan),去年
十月公布,其中包括與美國在礦產資源上的重大協議——烏克蘭擁有豐富的關鍵資源。
原文:
Ukraine opens a new front against Russia – flattering Trump
By Sophie Tanno and Maria Kostenko, CNN
Published 5:03 AM EST, Sun January 19, 2025
CNN

World leaders have been rushing to get on Donald Trump’s good side since his re
election as US president, arguably none more so than Ukraine.
In his annual New Year address, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said he h
ad “no doubt that the new American president is willing and capable of achievin
g peace and ending Putin’s aggression,” in comments that embody his approach t
o winning over Trump.
Just days later, Zelensky told an American podcaster that Trump won as he was a
“much stronger” candidate than Kamala Harris, adding, “He showed that he can
do it intellectually and physically.”
Zelensky isn’t alone among prominent Ukrainians in trying to butter up Trump. I
n November, a Ukrainian MP from Zelensky’s party even nominated him for a Nobel
Peace Prize, according to a letter seen by the Kyiv Independent.
Such tactics have long been favored by foreign powers. Think of how China took T
rump to the Forbidden City or the UK government enlisted the royals during his l
ast term in the White House.
Nor is this an entirely new approach from Ukraine. In what a 2019 CNN opinion ar
ticle called a “textbook suck-up,” Zelensky could be heard hailing Trump as a
“great teacher” on the notorious call in which the then first-term president u
rged Ukraine to investigate Joe Biden and his son Hunter.
Years on, the stakes could not be higher for Ukraine. Kyiv enters 2025 on the ba
ckfoot in its war against Russia, with Ukrainian forces struggling to hold back
Russian advances in the east, where they are vastly outnumbered. Its chances of
retaking occupied Russian territory anytime soon look increasingly slim.
Under outgoing President Biden, the US became the single largest provider of mil
itary assistance to Ukraine and Kyiv remains keenly aware that it needs to stay
on Trump’s side to secure future support.
‘Peace through strength’
“Unfortunately, Zelensky does not have the luxury to be hostile towards Trump,
Peace Prize, according to a letter seen by the Kyiv Independent.
Such tactics have long been favored by foreign powers. Think of how China took T
rump to the Forbidden City or the UK government enlisted the royals during his l
ast term in the White House.
Nor is this an entirely new approach from Ukraine. In what a 2019 CNN opinion ar
ticle called a “textbook suck-up,” Zelensky could be heard hailing Trump as a
“great teacher” on the notorious call in which the then first-term president u
rged Ukraine to investigate Joe Biden and his son Hunter.
Years on, the stakes could not be higher for Ukraine. Kyiv enters 2025 on the ba
ckfoot in its war against Russia, with Ukrainian forces struggling to hold back
Russian advances in the east, where they are vastly outnumbered. Its chances of
retaking occupied Russian territory anytime soon look increasingly slim.
Under outgoing President Biden, the US became the single largest provider of mil
itary assistance to Ukraine and Kyiv remains keenly aware that it needs to stay
on Trump’s side to secure future support.
‘Peace through strength’
“Unfortunately, Zelensky does not have the luxury to be hostile towards Trump,
” Joanna Hosa, a policy fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations tol
d CNN.
“He must at least try to get him on Ukraine’s side in order to secure the best
possible outcome for Ukraine, which depends enormously on American support.”
Trump has repeatedly stressed the need to end Russia’s war in Ukraine, suggesti
ng that negotiations could be on the horizon. His envoy’s plan to end the war c
ontains much that will please the Kremlin.
Zelensky has said he wants to “work directly” with the new president and appea
rs more willing to – or perhaps has no choice but to – make battlefield conces
sions.
Of course, Ukraine would want to recapture all land it lost. However, after thre
e years of this exhausting war, recapturing all land is nowhere in sight. With a
heavy heart, Ukrainians are slowly coming to accept this,” Hosa said.
Zelensky has frequently described Trump as strong, an apparent effort to appeal
to a president-elect who has made “peace through strength” a rallying call.
“Trump could be crucial. I think this is the most important thing for us. His q
Nick Paton Walsh points out, Moscow’s previous pledges of peace in Ukraine have
been characterized by deception, suggesting any potential ceasefire may be in n
ame only.
Lutsevych believes that the Ukrainian government is trying to present Kyiv’s de
feat over Moscow as something that would strengthen America’s “power projectio
n” on the world stage.
“This is the game; whether Trump will believe this is a viable strategy is anot
her question,” she said.
And Zelensky has offered other benefits. In October last year, he pitched the id
ea of swapping out some US forces based in Europe with Ukrainian troops once Rus
sia’s war in Ukraine is over. He argued that the wartime experience of Kyiv’s
forces could be put to good use, bolstering NATO – the military alliance which
Ukraine has been offered assurances it will join – and helping to ensure securi
ty in Europe, something that is likely to appeal to a US leader who has demanded
Europe do more on defense.
Zelensky has also appealed to Trump’s business-focused mind. His so-called ‘Vi
ctory Plan,’ unveiled in October last year, includes a significant deal with th
e US on minerals – a critical resource Ukraine is rich in.
According to a report in the New York Times, the signing of the minerals deal wa
s pushed back twice, with the possible motive of allowing Trump to take credit f
or it when he takes office.
Lutsevych posited that Kyiv would be making a lucrative offer to the US, in econ
omic terms. “We’ve seen that in this ‘Victory Plan,’ that it includes critic
al minerals, it includes investments… [Ukraine is] basically trying to say that
it can be profitable for America.”
But while flattering Trump is a common tactic, his unpredictability means there
are few guarantees it will work.
Trump’s welcome by then-British monarch, Queen Elizabeth II, back in 2019 did n
ot stop him from firing off a series of angry tweets moments before stepping off
his plane, describing London Mayor Sadiq Khan as a “stone cold loser.” He the
n labeled then-British Prime Minister Theresa May as “foolish.”
Hosa believes there is evidence Zelensky’s approach is paying off, with Trump a
cknowledging it would take longer than 24 hours to end the conflict – a claim h
e made in July 2024 – in a sign of his shifting attitude.
“He [Zelensky] faced a choice: flatter Trump or be forced to capitulate to Puti
n,” Hosa said.
“Flattery is a small price to pay for a better outcome than that.”
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 223.137.96.146 (臺灣)
※ 編輯: washwall (223.137.96.146 臺灣), 01/19/2025 20:29:39
作者: goodapple807 (Archi)   2025-01-19 20:38:00
川普威武美國就是世界第一強國 他說1就是1 現在是老川當權我相信老川會找到烏克蘭也接受的方案

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