[討論] 什麼是順風球?(熱火馬刺順風贏球統計)

作者: sunrise26sq (sunrise26sq)   2013-06-14 15:44:24
常常看到大家在討論
XXX只會打順風球
但好像很少人把順風球的定義講清楚
是指上半場勝分超過十分 然後獲得勝利?
或是指說比賽從頭到尾勝方都沒有被超前或追平?
有沒有一個明確的定義呢?
如果以上兩點是順風球的定義
那麼來統計一下總冠軍戰兩隊季後賽贏球戰績
沒空看詳細的比賽紀錄
用box做比較
過程冗長 可以直接end看結果
================Heat================
┌──────────────────────┐
│ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th FINAL │
│Bucks 24 21 20 22 87 │順風
│Heat 26 26 28 30 110 │
└══════════════════════┘
┌──────────────────────┐
│ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th FINAL │
│Bucks 23 20 22 21 86 │順風
│Heat 25 22 21 30 98 │
└══════════════════════┘
┌──────────────────────┐
│ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th FINAL │
│Heat 21 27 30 26 104 │
│Bucks 30 20 18 23 91 │
└══════════════════════┘
┌──────────────────────┐
│ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th FINAL │
│Heat 24 21 22 21 88 │順風
│Bucks 17 24 21 15 77 │
└══════════════════════┘
┌──────────────────────┐
│ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th FINAL │
│Bulls 20 21 15 22 78 │順風
│Heat 25 30 30 30 115 │
└╩═════════════════════┘
┌──────────────────────┐
│ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th FINAL │
│Heat 25 27 18 34 104 │
│Bulls 25 25 20 24 94 │
└══════════════════════┘
┌──────────────────────┐
│ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th FINAL │
│Heat 21 23 17 27 88 │順風
│Bulls 15 18 9 23 65 │
└══════════════════════┘
┌──────────────────────┐
│ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th FINAL │
│Bulls 21 32 24 14 91 │
│Heat 30 17 22 25 94 │
└══════════════════════
┌──────────────────────┐
│ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th OT1 FINAL │
│Pacers 21 21 23 27 10 102 │
│Heat 22 15 27 28 11 103 │
└══════════════════════┘
┌──────────────────────┐
│ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th FINAL │
│Heat 34 36 21 23 114 │順風
│Pacers 30 26 20 20 96 │
└══════════════════════┘
┌──────────────────────┐
│ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th FINAL │
│Pacers 23 21 13 22 79 │
│Heat 19 21 30 20 90 │
└══════════════════════┘
┌──────────────────────┐
│ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th FINAL │
│Pacers 21 16 18 21 76 │算順風?
│Heat 19 33 24 23 99 │(半場勝超過十分)
└══════════════════════┘
┌──────────────────────┐
│ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th FINAL │
│Spurs 22 23 20 19 84 │算順風?
│Heat 22 28 25 28 103 │(沒被追平or超前吧)
└══════════════════════┘
┌──────────────────────┐
│ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th FINAL │
│Heat 29 20 32 28 109 │(中場有追平)
│Spurs 26 23 27 17 93 │
└══════════════════════┘
==========================================================
=================Spurs=================
┌──────────────────────┐
│ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th FINAL │
│Lakers 15 22 20 22 79 │順風
│Spurs 24 21 25 21 91 │
└══════════════════════┘
┌──────────────────────┐
│ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th FINAL │
│Lakers 23 25 20 23 91 │順風
│Spurs 28 28 22 24 102 │
└══════════════════════┘
┌──────────────────────┐
│ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th FINAL │
│Spurs 30 25 30 35 120 │順風
│Lakers 18 26 19 26 89 │
└══════════════════════┘
┌──────────────────────┐
│ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th FINAL │
│Spurs 26 26 26 25 103 │順風
│Lakers 20 14 24 24 82 │
└══════════════════════┘
┌──────────────────────┐
│ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th OT1 OT2 FINAL │
│Warriors 28 25 39 14 9 12 127 │
│Spurs 25 24 31 26 9 14 129 │
└══════════════════════┘
┌──────────────────────┐
│ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th FINAL │
│Spurs 32 25 22 23 102 │順風
│Warriors 23 25 21 23 92 │
└══════════════════════┘
┌──────────────────────┐
│ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th FINAL │
│Warriors 28 23 21 19 91 │順風
│Spurs 37 17 29 26 109 │
└══════════════════════┘
┌──────────────────────┐
│ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th FINAL │
│Spurs 21 26 19 28 94 │順風
│Warriors 19 21 19 23 82 │
└══════════════════════┘
┌──────────────────────┐
│ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th FINAL │
│Grizzlies 14 23 20 26 83 │順風
│Spurs 31 20 22 32 105 │
└══════════════════════┘
┌──────────────────────┐
│ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th OT1 FINAL │
│Grizzlies 13 18 33 21 4 89 │
│Spurs 15 31 30 9 8 93 │
└══════════════════════┘
┌──────────────────────┐
│ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th OT1 FINAL │
│Spurs 13 27 24 22 18 104 │
│Grizzlies 29 15 21 21 7 93 │
└══════════════════════┘
┌──────────────────────┐
│ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th FINAL │
│Spurs 24 20 28 21 93 │順風
│Grizzlies 14 24 28 20 86 │
└══════════════════════┘
┌──────────────────────┐
│ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th FINAL │
│Spurs 23 26 20 23 92 │
│Heat 24 28 20 16 88 │
└══════════════════════┘
┌──────────────────────┐
│ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th FINAL │
│Heat 20 24 19 14 77 │順風
│Spurs 24 26 28 35 113 │
└══════════════════════┘
======================================
總計:
Heat八次
Spurs十次
因為是看box
所以有可能會又中間追平的比賽沒看到 有可能有誤差
但兩隊順風贏球的次數其實差不多 馬刺略多於熱火
熱火贏球時是順風球的機率是8/14=57%
馬刺機率是10/14=71%
兩隊合計18/28=64%
可以看的出來 贏球時,是順風球的機率本來就大於1/2
我的結論是:
→所有人都比較會打順風球
作者: steven610381 (Keiko Kitagawa is mine.)   2013-06-14 15:55:00
唯一??????? 灰熊:
作者: Becomingsoon (待續)   2013-06-14 18:54:00
認同原PO和wupeiing的看法 還有領先5分以上到20分間
作者: Becomingsoon (待續)   2013-06-14 18:55:00
團隊的命中率提升的程度 也可以當作會不會打順風有時候領先太多 會更換場上球員 就會導致變化
作者: michael0728n (蒜˙遠古)   2013-06-14 21:37:00
只會打順風表示逆風打不好阿
作者: michael0728n (蒜˙遠古)   2013-06-14 21:38:00
分析錯方向的感覺

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