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公牛交易大限前分析 By JayPatt
The trade deadline is Thursday, but don't expect many fireworks from the
Bulls. While the Bulls have some assets and could use a bit more help on the
bench, they don't have a track record of making in-season moves, and there's
little reason to expect that to change this season.
交易截止日是美國時間禮拜四, 從歷史來看, 不要太期待公牛在季中會有甚麼動作, 以下
是幾點原因
Taj Gibson was mentioned as a possible trade candidate, but that was more
speculation than a legitimate trade rumor. The Bulls have also been linked to
Arron Afflalo,but Grantland's Zach Lowe says the Nuggets' asking price for
Afflalo is high (multiple first-rounders), and Chicago seems hesitant to part
ways with those types of assets:
雖然Taj陷入各種交易流言中,但可能性都不高, 公牛交易Affalo也是一個常出現流言, 但
消息來源指出,金塊要價太高, 要求多個首輪籤, 使得公牛卻步
I understand the hesitation about trading future firsts, because those rookie
contracts are valuable (and will become even more valuable with the exploding
cap) and the Bulls have generally done a nice job picking late. But the Bulls
are in position to win now, and if there's a good deal out there that could
be made by cashing in on a future draft pick, I'd be for it.
我明白首輪籤的價值, 尤其公牛近年挑選秀的挑不錯, 但是公牛追求Win Now, 如果有值
得交易的對象, 公牛應該去尋求
For what it's worth, Lowe barely mentions the Bulls in his trade deadline
primer, giving even more reason to believe nothing much will happen. However,
the trade of Luol Dengwas a surprise after many said it wouldn't happen, so
never rule anything out. If nothing does happen, definitely keep an eye on
the buyouts. Could a guy like Gary Nealfeel rejuvenated in Chicago? Maybe.
然而別忘了Deng被交易的驚訝, 永遠別說不可能, 公牛也許會密切注意被買斷的球員, 也
許Gary Neal會在芝加哥煥發青春也說不定
Even if a trade is unlikely, let's take a look at the assets the Bulls have
at their disposal. I'm not going to include Derrick Rose, Jimmy Butler,
Joakim Noah, Pau Gasol, Nikola Mirotic and Mike Dunleavy because I'm assuming
there's no chance any of them are dealt.
即使交易發生機率很低, 但讓我們來檢視一下公牛所擁有的資產, 我不會包括Rose JB
Noah Gasol Dunleavy 還有Nikola Mirotic
Taj Gibson: While Gibson has regressed this season, he's on an affordable
contract for the next two years and still plays a significant role on the
team. The Bulls will need his normal defensive prowess (which he must regain)
against the other Eastern Conference contenders in the postseason, so I'd be
wary of dealing him. I'm not trading Gibson in any deal for Afflalo for
Wilson Chandler, although I would be intrigued by Goran Dragic, who
supposedly is on the block thanks to the glut of guards in Phoenix. The issue
with Dragic, though, is he would almost certainly be gone at the end of this
year after he opts out of his current. Could you imagine the Bulls paying big
money to both Dragic and Butler? Hell no. There's also the whole don't trade
big-for-small thing, although I'd probably try and snag Miles Plumlee as well
to help replace Gibson.
即使Taj表現有點退步, Taj未來兩年的薪水是合理且負擔的起, 他依舊在球隊扮演重要角
色, 公牛會需要他的防守來對抗其他東區季後賽隊伍, 因此我不會交易他來換取Affalo
或是Wilson Chandler雖然我被Dragic所吸引, Dragic 看來本季結束是走定了,但公牛有
錢同時花在Jimmy Butler以及Dragic身上嗎?不可能, 尤其別忘了,千萬不要拿大個子鋒線
換取小個子後衛, 如此會對球隊產生個大洞, 雖然我會試著讓Miles Pumplee來填補Taj如
果交易掉的空缺
Tony Snell: Snell is an interesting case. A few weeks ago, I'm actively
shopping him in an effort to upgrade the roster for this year. Now, the Bulls
have to decide whether his recent excellent play is a flash in the pan or a
positive sign of things to come. Would the Bulls sell high and take the risk
of looking bad if he continues to play well? I'm guessing no, because he
still has two cheap years left on his rookie contract and could be pretty
valuable moving forward if Mike Dunleavy is gone after this season. Still,
Snell isn't untouchable by any means.
Snell的情況很有趣, 幾周前, 我把他放在個種交易包裹中, 現在公牛必須決定他近幾場
的好表現是意外, 還是一個破繭而出的跡象, 公牛會承擔交易他, 他在別隊打出好表現的
風險? 我想公牛應該不會, 別忘了他還有兩年新秀便宜合約, 且他可以填補如果本季結束
Dunleavy離去的空缺, 因此Snell是絕對不能被交易的
Doug McDermott: McDermott was bad before he got hurt and can't get on the
floor even when healthy now. It's become painfully obvious that Tom Thibodeau
doesn't trust McDermott, and it's looking like this will be a redshirt
season, even if the Bulls could use his shooting. Even so, it's unlikely that
the Bulls will trade the rookie. We know the front office loves him, and they
invested a lot by trading up to get him in this past draft. And while he
looked awful at the beginning of the year, I still feel like he can at least
carve out a niche in the NBA thanks to his shooting, which is sure to improve.
新秀Doug Mcdermott在他受傷前就表現不佳, 悲傷的說, McD得不到Thib的信任, 即使他
是一名公牛所需的射手, 他本季大部分時間應該還是會坐板凳, 即使如此, 公牛不太可能
交易他, 尤其我們都知道公牛office愛他, 當初花了不少功夫才拿到選他的選秀權, 即使
他看來有點掙扎, 但相信未來他可以藉由他的神射來突破瓶頸, 這是毫無疑問的
Kings pick: The Kings first-rounder acquired from the Cavaliers in the Deng
trade is top 10 protected until 2017, and it turns into a second-rounder if
the Kings don't draft outside the top 10 by 2017. Sacramento currently has
the sixth-worst record in the league this season, but a strong close to the
year under new head coach George Karl could get the Kings outside the top 10.
(The Kings are 2½ games worse than the Celtics, who have the 11th-worst
record.) And even if it doesn't happen this year, there's reason to believe
Sacramento will be better next year.
對選秀籤不熟, 有錯請見諒
國王從騎士Deng交易案得到的的首輪籤, 是受保護到2017, 如果國王沒有掉到選秀第十順
位以後, 這支首輪籤會變成二輪籤, 本季國王在聯盟擁有第六爛成績, 目前國王距離第十
一名爛塞爾提克有兩場半, 但相信在Karl值教後, 國王戰績會比今年好(結論應該這支會
變二輪籤)
Bulls picks: When it's all said and done, the Bulls' own first-rounder is
sure to fall in the 20s. However, if the Bulls finish with a better record
than the Cavaliers, the two teams will swap picks, so Chicago has that going
for them. The Bulls don't own any second-round picks in the 2015 draft.
以目前看來公牛自己的首輪籤將會掉到20名以後, 但是如果公牛戰績比騎士好, 公牛可以
跟騎士對換首輪籤, 公牛2015沒有任何二輪籤
Trade filler: If the Bulls need to match salaries on a trade, they could look
to include guys like Kirk Hinrich, Aaron Brooks, E'Twaun Moore, Nazr Mohammed
and Cameron Bairstow. Hinrich and Mohammed both have the right to veto any
trades they're included in because of the one-year contracts with full Bird
rights they signed this past offseason (Hinrich's second year is an option),
while Kirk also has a 15 percent trade kicker.
公牛如果想要完成交易, 可以運用Kirk Hinrich 小AB E'Twaun Moore, 老穆和Cameron
Bairstow, K隊長跟老穆都有交易否決權
ddrose 源自於對DRose的熱愛