[外絮] 暴龍的攻擊哲學: 爛的射手去投三分球

作者: pneumo (超☆冒險蓋)   2018-11-22 23:45:13
來源: The USA Today
網址: https://tinyurl.com/ybd933mu
Raptors encouraging 'poor' shooters to take threes rather than mid-range
暴龍鼓勵投的爛的射手多投三分線,少投中距離
The Toronto Raptors have changed their shot distribution under new head coach
Nick Nurse and it’s led to an interesting offensive philosophy.
在新教練Nick Nurse上任之後,多倫多暴龍改變了他們的投球分布,展現出了一個非常有
趣的攻擊哲學。
While most teams at all levels of competitive basketball have typically
encouraged their bad shooters to move closer to the basket, it’s entirely
possible that Toronto has a new method that suggests the exact opposite might
make more sense.
在籃球領域,大部分的隊伍都是鼓勵投的爛的球員要盡量離籃框近一些,不過暴龍完全顛
覆的新策略或許可能更合理一些。
Utah Jazz announcer David Locke presented his theory during a recent podcast
(via Locked On NBA):
爵士播報員David Locke最近在podcast說明了這個新策略的理論。
“I think they’re onto something in the moneyball realm that’s different
than the rest of the NBA. My quick thesis on this is that they are only
letting their good shooters take mid-range shots and their bad shooters take
threes, which is a complete flip from how it used to be.”
「我認為他們跟其他NBA隊伍不一樣的是他們開始注意Moneyball的部分。簡單說,這理論
是他們讓他們好的射手去投中距離的球,而讓投的爛的射手去丟三分球,完全顛覆大家以
前的習慣。」
Locke said that when he asked Nurse about this, the Raptors coach seemed to
react as if the speculation was fairly accurate. A long distance shot taken
by a decent shooter has nearly the same value as a mid-range shot from a
skilled shooter when following this philosophy.
Locke說當他去問暴龍總教練Nurse有關這個觀察時,Nurse的反應似乎就是反映出他的觀察
是很準確的。依據這個理論,一個OK的射手去投遠距離的價值幾乎跟一個好的射手去投中
距離是差不多的。
That’s because it is worth more for someone shoot 34.0 percent from
three-point range than 50.0 percent from mid-range. That means someone can be
worse than the current league average on three’s (35.2 percent) and it is
still more valuable than the NBA’s most accurate team (48.1 percent) on
mid-range attempts.
那是因為當三分球命中率34趴的價值比中距離命中率50趴的價值要高的多。這也代表了,
一個球員若是三分球命中率低於聯盟平均(35.2趴),他會比聯盟中距離命中率最佳隊伍
(48.1趴)可能還要更有價值。
We looked through the data and Locke’s speculation on Toronto is also what
the latest numbers reflect. Only Kawhi Leonard is taking significantly more
mid-range shots than three-pointers among high-volume contributors on
Toronto. Good shooters like Leonard likely have a green light to take good
looks from anywhere on the court.
這些觀察結果可以在暴龍最近的數據上反映出來。在暴龍隊上的主要得分手,只有Kawhi
Leonard投的中距離比三分球多。當然,像Leonard這樣的好射手可以在場上任何地方都有
開火權。
As such, the Raptors are shooting just 34.0 percent from three-point range
through 17 games. This ranks in the Bottom 10 among all teams so far this
season. Some might view this as a cause for concern. But they have been the
most accurate (48.1 percent) on mid-range attempts because they have been
more careful about who takes these attempts.
也因此,在過去17場比賽,暴龍的三分命中率只有34趴,目前聯盟排名倒數10名,有些人
可能會對此有點擔心。但是他們的中距離命中率卻是極高(48.1趴),因為他們對於誰可以
投中距離非常小心。
Toronto is averaging a league-best 1.009 points per possession on mid-range
jumpers, per Synergy Sports. But they’re averaging 1.005 PPP on three-point
attempts, and while that ranks No. 20 in the league, it’s still the same
value as their mid-range looks.
根據Synergey Sports,平均每次球權,在中距離出手可以得到1.009分,是聯盟最佳,但
是他們在平均每次球權,三分球出手得分是1.005,排名聯盟第20,而那分數跟他們的中距
離分數是差不多的。
Non-dominant shooters on the Raptors such as Pascal Siakam or OG Anunoby are
presumably encouraged to move beyond the arc if they are taking a jump shot
even though they aren’t particularly effective.
暴龍的非主要射手,像是Pascal Siakam或是OG Anunoby都被鼓勵,若是要跳投,即使他們
命中率不高,也要多投三分球。
作者: purpleforest (紫悠林)   2018-11-22 23:58:00
原來是線性規劃ㄚ
作者: doyouknowhow (hi)   2018-11-22 23:58:00
爛射手在三分線內接到球要退到三分線外出手的概念
作者: KeMBaWallKer (送重機)   2018-11-23 00:20:00
又來了又在期望值
作者: jack19931993 (三無少年)   2018-11-23 00:26:00
數據籃球越玩越極致
作者: roger2623900 (whitecrow)   2018-11-23 00:27:00
好像很合理 期望值聽起來很高戰績全聯盟第一就是好戰術 像是去年火箭
作者: jack19931993 (三無少年)   2018-11-23 00:53:00
先別說火箭只學一半 等最後戰績出來再評優劣也不遲就像上面有人說得 贏了才能證明理論對錯
作者: taipeifinest   2018-11-23 03:35:00
可群多投啊
作者: swingingbear (Bear~XD)   2018-11-23 04:35:00
極端化優勢或平均化弱勢 他們選後者
作者: jack19931993 (三無少年)   2018-11-23 08:44:00
三分跟切入佔大部分出手術 切入就是那個容易獲得罰球的方式了
作者: fishfish1314 (fish)   2018-11-23 10:19:00
SBL早就知道

Links booklink

Contact Us: admin [ a t ] ucptt.com