: 推 fish19831012:.....不是說過 要空本益比12倍以下的股票嗎?? 04/24 22:30
: → fish19831012:現在 相信吧 就說 看基本面 每天找本益比低的 04/24 22:30
: → fish19831012:是不是賠到脫褲子 04/24 22:31
: → fish19831012:以為買到低本益比的股票 天天看本益比高的在那邊飆 04/24 22:31
: → fish19831012:吵股時代 買40倍本益比的股票空12倍以下的股票 04/24 22:32
: → fish19831012:基本面買股 或本益比買股的書籍 通通燒掉 那都是騙人 04/24 22:33
: → fish19831012:未來有機會 小弟 考略寫 第一次吵股就上手的書籍 04/24 22:33
去學下基本統計吧 拿單一例子去套大樣本?
照你的說法 我找一個沒吸菸得肺癌 跟一個有吸菸得肺癌的人
就可以宣稱不吸菸會得肺癌?
如果把歷年台股上市櫃本益比分成低中高負四組
(負值組獨立 低中高各1/3 組合內個股比例全部相同 下市報酬率算-100%)
在21年的樣本期間內 只有1994跟2005年本益比低值組輸給高值組
燒 燒個頭啦
低 中 高 負 加權報酬
1991 -11.06% -11.89% -11.34% -14.45%
1992 1.63% -3.70% -11.44% -14.49%
1993 24.39% 14.60% 14.03% 6.13%
1994 -6.75% 0.71% -1.76% -2.85%
1995 -2.96% -3.62% -7.08% -21.66%
1996 99.05% 71.26% 55.74% 61.14%
1997 4.31% 0.68% 0.83% 13.40%
1998 -20.39% -24.23% -27.75% -30.16%
1999 19.19% 28.98% 3.33% 11.14%
2000 -29.89% -35.15% -42.09% -53.48%
2001 21.81% 12.34% 11.52% 28.53%
2002 -17.90% -28.24% -30.05% -44.17%
2003 52.75% 44.53% 50.01% 80.59% 50.73%
2004 -10.87% -9.91% -21.38% -42.26% -1.82%
2005 32.73% 35.81% 37.25% 13.26% 28.21%
2006 43.38% 35.82% 31.77% 48.05% 14.37%
2007 11.41% 7.36% 3.70% -4.49% 17.19%
2008 -31.79% -28.31% -35.13% -38.18% -29.14%
2009 78.56% 77.21% 68.09% 87.23% 37.32%
2010 5.38% 7.95% 0.35% 0.09% 16.64%
2011 -13.59% -15.53% -22.43% -26.79% -13.34%
91-11 7.43% 4.43% -0.98% -4.31%
91-00 3.46% 0.31% -5.72% -8.99%
01-11 11.16% 8.32% 3.53% 0.15%
03-11 13.80% 12.93% 7.25% 3.95% 10.72%