作者:
wahaha99 (此方不可長)
2025-02-05 21:25:06原文標題:
US producers, Saudi Arabia resist Trump's push for increased oil production,
WSJ reports
根據《華爾街日報》報道,美國油企與沙烏地阿拉伯拒絕響應川普增產石油的要求
原文連結:
https://kyivindependent.com/
trump-calls-for-lower-oil-prices-to-
end-ukraine-war-us-producers-reject-expansion-wsj-reports/
https://tinyurl.com/yrmwk2yw
發布時間:
2025 年 2 月 4 日下午 3:50
記者署名:
Tim Zadorozhnyy
原文內容:
American oil producers and Saudi Arabia are pushing back against U.S.
President Donald Trump's call to ramp up oil production, signaling reluctance
to align with his strategy to lower global energy prices, the Wall Street
Journal (WSJ) reported on Feb. 3.
Trump has repeatedly called for lowering oil prices by increasing production,
arguing that undercutting Russia's oil revenue would force Moscow to end its
war against Ukraine.
While major oil companies were among Trump's top campaign donors, their
priority is regulatory relief and long-term market stability rather than an
immediate production surge, sources told the WSJ.
U.S. shale producers have reportedly informed the White House that they do
not plan to expand drilling, despite Trump's rhetoric about boosting output.
Saudi Arabia has also conveyed its reluctance to increase production.
According to the WSJ, Riyadh has privately informed former U.S. officials
that it does not intend to ramp up output, a position that has been passed on
to the current administration.
Speaking via video link at the World Economic Forum in Davos on Jan. 23,
Trump said he would ask the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries
(OPEC) to lower oil prices, claiming it would bring an immediate end to the
war in Ukraine.
OPEC, which includes 12 member states, including Iraq, Iran, Kuwait, and
Saudi Arabia, controls about 30% of the global oil supply and can
significantly influence prices through production adjustments.
Trump's energy policy aligns with broader efforts to increase pressure on
Russia's economy. Keith Kellogg, the incoming U.S. peace envoy, told Fox News
on Jan. 24 that stricter measures targeting Russia's oil industry could
weaken the Kremlin's financial standing and force it into negotiations.
Trump has claimed that his team has already held "very serious" discussions
with Russian officials about the war in Ukraine and suggested that he and
Russian President Vladimir Putin could soon take "significant steps" toward
ending the conflict.
Putin said on Jan. 24 that Russia is ready for talks with Trump, whom he
described as having a "pragmatic and trusting" relationship with Moscow.
Reuters reported on Jan. 23 that Putin is increasingly concerned about
Russia's economy, citing five undisclosed sources.
Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky has said that Trump could fulfill his
promise to end the war, but only if Ukraine is included in negotiations.
(ChatGPT 4o翻譯)
美國油企與沙烏地阿拉伯對美國總統川普要求提高石油產量的呼籲表示反對,顯示出它們
對於配合川普降低全球能源價格策略的意願不高。《華爾街日報》(WSJ)於2月3日報導
。
川普一再呼籲透過增加石油產量來壓低油價,並主張削減俄羅斯的石油收入將迫使莫斯科
結束對烏克蘭的戰爭。
儘管大型石油公司是川普競選活動的主要金主之一,但消息人士向《華爾街日報》表示,
這些企業的首要目標是放寬監管與維持長期市場穩定,而非立即提高產量。
據報導,美國頁岩油生產商已向白宮表明,他們無意擴大鑽探規模,儘管川普不斷強調增
加產量的重要性。
沙烏地阿拉伯同樣表達了不願增產的立場。《華爾街日報》引述消息指出,利雅德已私下
告知前美國官員,沙國無意提高產量,並已將此立場傳達給現任美國政府。
在1月23日於達沃斯世界經濟論壇(WEF)上透過視訊發言時,川普表示,他將要求石油輸
出國組織(OPEC)降低油價,並聲稱這將立即結束烏克蘭戰爭。
OPEC擁有12個成員國,包括伊拉克、伊朗、科威特和沙烏地阿拉伯,控制著全球約30%的
石油供應,並能透過調整產量大幅影響油價。
川普的能源政策與更廣泛的戰略一致,旨在加大對俄羅斯經濟的壓力。即將上任的美國和
平特使基斯·凱洛格(Keith Kellogg)於1月24日對福斯新聞(Fox News)表示,更嚴格
的措施針對俄羅斯石油產業,可能會削弱克里姆林宮的財政狀況,迫使其進入談判。
川普聲稱,他的團隊已經與俄羅斯官員就烏克蘭戰爭進行了「非常嚴肅」的討論,並暗示
他與俄羅斯總統普丁可能很快會採取「重大步驟」,以結束這場衝突。
普丁於1月24日表示,俄羅斯已準備好與川普展開談判,並形容他與川普的關係「務實且
值得信賴」。路透社於1月23日報導稱,普丁對俄羅斯經濟日益擔憂,並援引五位未具名
的消息人士的說法。
烏克蘭總統澤倫斯基則表示,川普或許能兌現結束戰爭的承諾,但前提是烏克蘭必須被納
入談判之中。
心得/評論:
原華爾街日報文是付費文章, 所以就引用這篇。
這個石油增產計畫, 直觀上說是針對俄羅斯而來,
所以是由最關心俄烏戰爭調停的基輔獨立報來引述,
但實際上, 川普的所有大招, 都要依託石油降價來達成,
因為川普所有的招式, 都會大幅度加劇通膨,
包括關稅壁壘、產業回流政策等。
且已經沒有升息這個選項可以用。
美國現在的非高科技企業,
已無法再承擔高利息削減的利潤。
所以要依託石油降價來壓制通膨,
如果石油不能降價, 川普的招式會從七傷拳,
變成實實在在的自爆拳, 把美國炸的體無完膚。
好日子真的要來了...