幾個美國關鍵州的民調 (摘自RealClear Politics)
Ohio (18票) 上次歐巴馬 +3%
9/21 Trump +5 by Fox
9/15 Trump +3 by Suffolk
9/15 Trump +5 by CNN
Florida (29票) 上次歐巴馬 +0.9%
9/22 Trump +1 by Suffolk
9/20 Clinton +5 by Monmouth
9/19 tie by NY Times
9/14 Trump +4 by CNN
八卦版有人爆料 early voting Trump > Clinton
Iowa (6票) 上次歐巴馬 +5.8%
9/22 Trump +7 by Quinnipiac
9/15 Trump +8 by Monmouth
9/2 Trump +5 by Emerson
Nevada (6票) 上次歐巴馬 +6.7%
9/21 Trump +3 by Fox
9/20 Trump +3 by KTNV
9/14 Trump +2 by Monmouth
Pennsylvania (20票) 上次歐巴馬 +5.4%
9/18 Clinton +8 by Morning Call
9/7 Clinton +5 by Quinnipiac
Colorado (9票) 上次歐巴馬 +5.4%
9/21 tie by Quinnipiac
9/18 Clinton +9 by Rocky Mountain PBS
9/13 Trump +4 by Emerson
New Hampshire (4票) 上次歐巴馬 +5.6%
9/20 Clinton +9 by Monmouth
9/8 Clinton +1 by NBC
Wisconsin (13票) 上次歐巴馬 +6.9%
9/20 Clinton +7 by Emerson
9/18 Clinton +2 by Marquette
其實希拉蕊看起來蠻危險的,
如果把雙方穩贏的州各自加一加,然後Trump拿下Ohio、Florida、Iowa、Nevada,
再加上Colorado、New Hampshire、Wisconsin、Pennsylvania當中偷到任何一州的話,
那麼,Trump應該是會贏的
有沒有住美國或是比較熟的人(像是McCain大)要來分析一下?