這是幾天前的文章了....
Hong-Chih Kuo came into this season as a huge question mark for so many
different reasons. He’s rarely managed to stay healthy, struggled with
control, and seems unable to settle into a defined role. Even with these
questions, Kuo has managed to be a great pitcher this year, striking out over
a batter per inning while walking people far less frequently than he had in
prior years. Despite this, Joe Torre has refused to use Kuo at all, for what
seems like increasingly bizarre reasons.
由於許多因素，今年球季前郭泓志一直被是個未知數。他很少保持健康，控球不佳，沒有
明確的定位。但是今年郭泓志的表現非常優異，一局三振超過一名打者，保送率較前幾年
大幅降低。儘管如此，由於奇怪的因素，Joe Torre 仍然不太喜歡派他上場。
While Chan Ho Park has done well enough this year that the majority of Dodger
fans want to see him as our fifth starter, but he’s been fairly mediocre so
far with a 2.09 ERA versus a 4.34 FIP . Granted, this is better than I
expected. However, Kuo has put up both a lower ERA this season, and he’s
managed to do it without getting some kind of mystical fairy charm put on
him. Kuo’s 1.93 ERA and a 2.49 FIP are far more impressive numbers. Despite
being better according to both simple and advanced stats, Joe Torre refuses
to use Kuo at all. Since splitting a start with Chan Ho on May 17th, Kuo has
made just three appearances , once when down 4-0 against the Cardinals, down
6-3 against the Mets, and down 6-1 against the Mets again. In that same
timespan, Scott Proctor, by far the least effective Dodger reliever this
year, has appeared nine times, three times in medium to high leverage
situations. Chan Ho Park has appeared six times, four of them in high
leverage situations.
今年朴贊浩表現的夠水準，大部分的道奇球迷希望由他擔任第五號先發，但是到目前為止
2.09防禦率與4.34 FIP只能算是普通的表現，但是這已經比我預期的好了。然而今年球季
郭泓志的防禦率更低，但是並未獲得教練的青睞。郭泓志的1.93防禦率與2.49 FIP的成績
數字非常令人印象深刻。儘管依據簡單或進一步的數據，郭泓志都是較佳的選擇，但是
Joe Torre 幾乎不願意使用他。從5月17日朴贊浩先發的比賽開始，郭泓志只出賽了三場
，分別是4-0落後紅雀隊時，6-3落後大都會隊，再一次6-1落後大都會隊。在這段時間裡
，今年道奇後援投手表表現最差的 Scott Proctor 卻上場了9次，其中三次是在中度到高
度關鍵時刻。朴贊浩則出賽了6場，其中四場是高度關鍵時刻。
Even though Kuo is third on the team in ERA and leads Chan Ho and Proctor in
every pitching category from ERA to walk rate to WHIP, Kuo is the one
relegated to mop up duty while the latter is being used while the outcome of
the game is still in still in doubt. The entire year, Kuo has only faced 20
batters in high leverage situations, versus 52 in medium leverage and 80 in
low leverage. Kuo is our third best reliever according to FIP but he’s
rarely, if ever used when the game actually matters.
雖然郭泓志的防禦率在球隊中排名第三，並且從防禦率，保送率到平均每局被上壘率等各
項投球成績都領先朴 贊浩與 Proctor，但是郭泓志卻被定位為敗戰處理，雖然最近常在
比賽結果仍未定的時候上場。郭弘志整年只在高度關鍵時刻面對了20名打者，中度關鍵時
刻面對了52名，低度關鍵時刻則面對了50名打者。根據 FIP 的統計資料，郭泓志是我們
隊上排名第三的後援投手，但是當關鍵時刻上場時，他總是表現的很出色。
What’s even more bizarre is that Joe Torre’s low opinion of Kuo seems based
on one start, where he allowed five runs in 3.2 innings. After that start,
Kuo was removed from the rotation, and has only pitched eight times since,
twice in high leverage situations. This is completely insane behavior because
outside of that outing, Kuo has pitched 33.2 innings, and allowed three runs.
We have a lefty who can strikeout over a batter an inning, and he’s been
relegated to Scott Erickson status seemingly entirely because of one bad
start.
更怪異的是，Joe Torre 似乎從郭泓志3.2局失五分的那次先發後就開始就降低了對郭泓
志的評價。那場先發後，郭泓志被調離先發輪值，並且在那之後只出賽過8場，其中兩場
是在高度關鍵時刻。這真是極為愚蠢的調度，因為在那之後，郭泓志投了32.2局只失了3
分。我們擁有一局能三振一位打者的左投手，但是他卻被歸類成 Scott Erickson 那項的
選手，似乎完全只因為一場糟糕的先發。
Granted, this isn’t all that bad because the bullpen outside of Proctor and
some minor guest appearances has been unhittable this year. Eventually
though, our middling pitchers like Chan Ho, Joe Beimel, and Cory Wade will
collapse, and when that happens we need to be able to turn to Kuo as a rock
in the bullpen or a new starter. Kuo is one of the more valuable members of
this team with a limited shelf life, we need to use him while we can.
假使不是因為那場不佳的先發，而是因為今年牛棚除了 Proctor 與一些偶而客串的小聯
盟選手以外其他的球員都具有壓制力。如果最後我們的中繼投手，如朴贊浩, Joe
Beimel, Cory Wade 崩盤了，我們必須以郭泓志做為牛棚的主力或是新的先發投手。雖然
郭泓志的上場時間受到限制，但是他是球隊中較為重要的球員之一，我們必須盡可能的讓
他上場。
http://www.truebluela.com/2008/6/11/550157/woe-is-kuo