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Upside, shmupside.
Sources told the Boston Globe’s Peter Abraham that the Red Sox are
considering trading Jacoby Ellsbury and re-signing Cody Ross to play right
field, with the newly signed Shane Victorino taking over in center field.
Ellsbury, the runner-up for AL MVP honors in 2011, is a free agent after the
season and is considered unlikely to sign a long-term extension before he
gets to test the waters.
Ross would be a candidate to receive the sixth two- or three-year deal handed
out by the Red Sox this winter. They’ve added Victorino ($39 million for 3
years), Mike Napoli ($39 million for 3 years), Jonny Gomes ($10 million for 2
years) and David Ross ($6.4 million for 2 years), plus they’ve retained
David Ortiz ($26 million-$30 million for two years). Ross is believed to be
seeking about $24 million for three years.
If the Red Sox actually go that route, their odds of returning to contention
in the AL East in 2013 would seem to grow even longer. Ellsbury has been
injured and ineffective two of the last three years, but he was flat-out
awesome in 2011, hitting .321/.376/.552 with 32 homers and 105 RBI in 660
at-bats, and it’s not as though he has any chronic physical problems. Plus,
he probably wouldn’t bring all that much in return since he has just the one
year left on his deal.
A Red Sox lineup with Ross replacing Ellsbury would also seem to be very
susceptible to right-handed pitching:
CF Shane Victorino – S
2B Dustin Pedroia – R
DH David Ortiz – L
1B Mike Napoli – R
RF Cody Ross – R
LF Jonny Gomes – R
3B Will Middlebrooks – R
C Jarrod Saltalamacchia – S
SS Jose Iglesias – N/A
Victorino has always been better against lefties, and he slipped all of the
way to .230/.295/.332 against righties last season. Ross and Gomes are also
far better against lefties, though Gomes could at least be platooned with
Daniel Nava. Napoli, the other new addition, did hit righties better than
lefties last year, and he has a solid .253/.347/.498 line against them in his
career (.273/.381/.529 against lefties).
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