權威網站Baseball Prospectus近一個月陸陸續續公布各隊的Top 10 Prospects
目前已釋出馬林魚、天使、運動家、光芒、水手、老虎、釀酒人、巨人
每隊都有10+5個農作物排名(前10有完整tool介紹，後5個只有簡介)
我這邊基本上只貼排行跟tool的分數，且只有10大沒有後5
有些自己有在注意會附註一下，想看完整的人就直接點連結囉~
※雖然大部分的人應該都知道了，但還是講一下
球探給分數每一項都是20~80，不會低於20也不會超過80
分數所代表未來的成績大約是這樣:
右打衝1B 左打衝1B
Tool 別稱 球速 打擊率 全壘打 所需秒數 所需秒數 60碼奔跑
80 80 97 .320 40+ 4.00 3.90 6.3
75 96 .310 35-40 4.05 3.95 6.4
70 Plus Plus 95 .300 30-35 4.10 4.00 6.5
65 94 .290 27-30 4.15 4.05 6.6
60 Plus 93 .280 23-27 4.20 4.10 6.7
55 Above Avg 92 .270 19-22 4.25 4.15 6.8
50 Avg 90-91 .260 15-18 4.30 4.20 6.9-7.0
45 Below Avg 89 .250 12-15 4.35 4.25 7.1
40 88 .240 8-12 4.40 4.30 7.2
35 87 .230 5-8 4.45 4.35 7.3
30 86 .220 3-5 4.50 4.40 7.4
而在tool最後通常有個FV(Final Value或Future Value)或稱Future Role
一樣也是用20-80分數來評，就是綜合你的工具去評測你未來在大聯盟的「等級」
打者 先發投手 後援投手 WAR值
80 Top 1-2 #1 Starter —- 7.0
75 Top 2-3 #1 —- 6.0
70 Top 5 #1/2 —- 5.0
65 All-Star #2/3 —- 4.0
60 Plus #3 High Closer 3.0
55 Above Avg #3/4 Mid Closer 2.5
50 Avg Regular #4 Low CL/High SU 2.0
45 Platoon/Util #5 Low Setup 1.5
40 Bench Swing/Spot SP Middle RP 1.0
35 Emergency Call-Up Emergency Call-Up Emergency Call-Up 0.0
30 *Organizational *Organizational *Organizational -1.0
不過以上這兩張表格來自Fangraphs我再自己整理，各大評分標準略有一點點差異
但並不大，所以引用到以下BP是可以的
馬林魚:http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=27918
1. Tyler Kolek, RHP
DOB: 12/15/1995
Height/Weight: 6’5” 260 lbs.
Future Tools: 70 Fastball, 55 Slider
Role: 55—Above-average member of a starting rotation
Major league ETA: 2017
2. Josh Naylor, 1B
DOB: 06/22/1997
Height/Weight: 6’1” 225 lbs.
Bats/Throws: L/L
Future Tools: 70 power, 55 hit
Role: 50—Average regular
Major league ETA: 2018
這位小弟各家給他的Power應該是我目前看到新新生代(就是Gallo、Bryant、Sano、
Schwarber等巨砲的下一批)打者當中，Power最高的，有70分，有些網站甚至給更高
他現在才17、18歲已經壯的跟牛一樣，揮棒很快，但除了Power以外其他都....且
只能守一壘。Bret Sayre認為他未來能有.270打率、30發全壘打的表現，但還有很長
的路要走
3. Jarlin Garcia, LHP
DOB: 1/18/1993
Height/Weight: 6’2” 170 lbs.
Future Tools: 65 fastball, 50 curveball, 50 command
Role: High 50—Mid-rotation starter
Major league ETA: 2017
4. Kendry Flores, RHP
DOB: 11/24/1991
Height/Weight: 6’2” 175 lbs.
Future Tools: 55 command, 55 change, 50 fastball
Role: High 45—Back-end starter
Major league ETA: Debuted in 2015
5. Brett Lilek, LHP
DOB: 08/10/1993
Height/Weight: 6’4” 195 lbs.
2015 Stats: .3.34 ERA, 35 IP, 7 BB, 43 K at short-season Batavia
Future Tools: 55 fastball, 50 slider, 50 change
Role: High 45—Back-end starter
Major league ETA: 2018
6. Isael Soto, OF
DOB: 11/02/1996
Height/Weight: 6’0” 180 lbs.
Bats/Throws: L/L
Future Tools: 60 power, 60 arm
Role: 45—Below-average regular/bench bat
Major league ETA: 2018
7. Austin Dean, OF
DOB: 10/14/1993
Height/Weight: 6’1” 190 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 50+ Power (Raw), 50+ speed
Role: 45—Below-average corner outfield regular/bench bat
Major league ETA: 2017
8. Stone Garrett, OF
DOB: 11/22/1995
Height/Weight: 6’2” 195 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 55 power, 55 speed
Role: 45—Below-average regular/bench bat
Major league ETA: 2017
9. Brian Anderson, 3B
DOB: 05/19/1993
Height/Weight: 6’3” 185 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 60 arm, 55 glove
Role: 40—Utility infielder
Major league ETA: 2017
10. J.T. Riddle, SS
DOB: 10/12/1991
Height/Weight: 6’3” 175 lbs.
Bats/Throws: L/R
Future Tools: 60 arm, 55 glove
Role: 40—Utility player
Major league ETA: 2016
天使:http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=27936
1. Joe Gatto, RHP
DOB: 06/14/1995
Height/Weight: 6’3”, 200 lbs.
Future Tools: 65 fastball, 55 curve
Role: 50—High-leverage reliever/mid-rotation starter, with plenty of
volatility
Major league ETA: 2018
今年天使農場是公認排行最差的幾隊之一，最好的農作物就是這位Gatto只有50分Role
他被認為是個三號先發等級的投手，原作者說就怕他一不小心ends up pitching in the
bullpen.
2. Jahmai Jones, OF
DOB: 08/04/1997
Height/Weight: 5’11” 200 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 60 speed, 55 glove, 50 hit
Role: 50—Average regular in center field
Major league ETA: 2019
3. Victor Alcantara, RHP
DOB: 04/03/1993
Height/Weight: 6’2” 190 lbs.
Future Tools: 70 fastball, 50-plus slider
Role: High 45—Back-end starter/high-leverage reliever
Major league ETA: 2017
4. Taylor Ward, C
DOB: 12/14/1993
Height/Weight: 6’1” 180 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 70 arm, 55 glove
Role: 45—Fringe-average regular catcher
Major league ETA: 2017
5. Kyle Kubitza, 3B
DOB: 07/15/1990
Height/Weight: 6’3” 210 lbs.
Bats/Throws: L/R
Future Tools: 60 arm, 50 hit
Role: 40—Backup corner infielder
Major league ETA: Debuted in 2015
6. Roberto Baldoquin, SS
DOB: 05/14/1994
Height/Weight: 5’11” 185 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 50 hit, 50 arm
Role: 40—Utility infielder
Major league ETA: 2017
7. Jake Jewell, RHP
DOB: 05/16/1993
Height/Weight: 6’3” 200 lbs.
Future Tools: 70 fastball, 50 slider
Role: 40—No. 5 starter/middle reliever
Major league ETA: 2017
8. Julio Garcia, SS
DOB: 07/31/1997
Height/Weight: 6’0” 175 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 60 arm, 55 glove
Role: 40—Backup middle infielder
9. Nate Smith, LHP
DOB: 08/28/1991
Height/Weight: 6’3” 205 lbs.
Future Tools: 55 change, 50 command
Role: 40—Swingman
Major league ETA: 2016
10. Chad Hinshaw, OF
DOB: 09/10/1990
Height/Weight: 6’1” 205
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 60 speed, 55 glove
Role: 40—Fourth outfielder
Major league ETA: 2016
運動家:http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=27961
1. Franklin Barreto, SS
DOB: 02/27/1996
Height/Weight: 5’9” 175 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 60 hit, 60 arm, 50 power
Role: 60—First-division shortstop
Major league ETA: 2017
來了來了，農場經營口碑一直不錯的運動家，對比上面的天使隊，農作物品質實在
優秀不少，尤其季中又靠Kazmir交易案弄來捕手Nottinham。
這位Barreto在各家網站排名都是全小聯盟系統top級的，毫無疑問自然是運動家整體
的top 1。他就是在去年MVP-Josh Donaldson的那宗驚天交易案從藍鳥弄來的，他是
目前釋出的排行榜中極少數Role值高達60的小朋友，而且未來還更上看(他去年的評分
只有50)，他的進步明顯，是個努力的球員。今年在高階1A身為游擊手，出賽90場繳出
3成打率13轟8盜、長打率5成的數據，Bret Sayre認為他將來是個.290打率15轟全壘打
的頂級游擊手，滿夢幻的，希望運動家養出來囉。
2. Sean Manaea, LHP
DOB: 02/01/1992
Height/Weight: 6’5” 235 lbs.
Future Tools: 65 fastball, 55 slider
Role: 55—mid-rotation starter
Major league ETA: 2017
他的直球分數高達65分，接近plus plus的等級，相當優秀。雖然總Role是55分，
但Bret Sayre認為長的好的話Manaea將來是個單季200k的二號先發投手!
最高能丟到97 mph，狀況好的話都可以在92-94附近，欸欸而且他是左投....
3. Jacob Nottingham, C
DOB: 04/03/1995
Height/Weight: 6’3”, 230 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 60 power, 50 hit
Role: 55—Above-average regular behind the plate
Major league ETA: 2017
Kazmir交易案從休士頓農場挖來的，我認為這是神之一挖(?)
Nottingham在去年並沒有多少人給他太好的評價，結果2015年他的進步相當巨大，
身為捕手，他繳出了.3/.37/.5的成績並轟出17發全壘打(119場)，球探認為他的揮棒
速度有提升，讓人眼睛為之一亮。不過整體而言他的捕手能力還有待琢磨，在1A偶爾
會守一壘，若捕手能力能練完整他的分數在將來會更高....畢竟強打捕手世界稀有
Bret Sayre甚至認為他將來的Power不會輸給Evan Gattis，Gattis之前在勇士隊當
捕手都有單季20轟的成績，今年在太空人專心打DH轟了27轟，但同樣的問題，
對於Nottingham的Contact潛力目前只能給到50分
4. Matt Olson, 1B
DOB: 3/29/1994
Height/Weight: 6’5” 230 lbs.
Bats/Throws: L/R
Future Tools: 65 power, 60 arm
Role: 50—Average regular at first
Major league ETA: 2016
此君去年在1A幹了37發全壘打並且選了117個保送(138場)，今年到2A全壘打降到17發
但一樣選了超過100次的保送，完全就像是個標準的綠帽農場楷模XD
BB%相當高，長打工具高達65分，讓人期待成為下一個蛋哥。一般認為他長的好並且
將來餵給他很多PA，可以在大聯盟打出30發以上全壘打。但也因為他的守備位置，
所以最好希望他的選球能力能慢慢複製到大聯盟，畢竟他沒有很高的hit分數
5. Richie Martin, SS
DOB: 12/22/1994
Height/Weight: 6’0” 190 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 60 arm, 60 speed, 60 glove
Role: 45—Fringe-average regular at shortstop
Major league ETA: 2018
6. Matt Chapman, 3B
DOB: 04/28/1993
Height/Weight: 6’2” 205 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 70 arm, 60 glove, 50+ power
Role: 45—Fringe-average regular third baseman
Major league ETA: 2017
7. Yairo Munoz, SS
DOB: 01/23/1995
Height/Weight: 6’1” 165 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 60 arm, 55 speed, 50-plus raw power
Role: 45—Fringe-average regular infielder
Major league ETA: 2017
8. Casey Meisner, RHP
DOB: 05/22/1995
Height/Weight: 6’7” 190 lbs.
Future Tools: 60 fastball, 50 curveball
Role: 45—Back-end starter/high-leverage reliever
Major league ETA: 2017
9. Chad Pinder, IF
DOB: 03/29/1992
Height/Weight: 6’2” 190 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 60 arm, 50 hit
Role: 45—Utility player
Major league ETA: 2017
10. Renato Nunez, 3B
DOB: 04/04/1994
Height/Weight: 6’1” 200 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 55 power, 55 arm
Role: 45—Backup corner-infielder
Major league ETA: 2016
釀酒人:http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=27976
1. Orlando Arcia, SS
DOB: 08/04/1994
Height/Weight: 6’0” 165 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 70 arm, 60 glove, 60 speed, 55 hit
Role: 60—First-division shortstop
Major league ETA: 2016
釀酒人今年農常評比超高，是個A system。跟運動家同樣排名第一的是閃耀的
游擊手，Role高達60分，且今年進步非常大。擁有很好的bat control去打大部分的球
並擊到球場任一處，而且他腳程非常好，Power沒有運動家那位Barreto那麼好，但
未來預期能有.280、10轟、25次以上盜壘的實力，而且他的守備評價很高，又是一個
夢幻的游擊手model，當然前提是養程順利。他去年已經在2A層級了，繳出3成打率
25盜壘，看來不用太久就能見到他登入大聯盟。
2. Brett Phillips, OF
DOB: 05/30/1994
Height/Weight: 6’0” 180 lbs.
Bats/Throws: L/R
Future Tools: 70 arm, 60 run, 55 glove, 55 hit
Role: 55—Above-average regular in center field.
Major league ETA: 2017
3. Jorge Lopez, RHP
DOB: 02/10/1993
Height/Weight: 6’3”v190 lbs.
Future Tools: 65 fastball, 60 curveball
Role: 55—Above-average starting pitcher
Major league ETA: Already debuted
又一位速球男，這樣的人只能排在釀酒人農作物第三名。他被認為將來在大聯盟
能投出單季180三振。他甚至被認為2016就能進大聯盟先發，養成順利的話將來能
扛到二號位置。
4. Trent Clark, OF
DOB: 11/01/1996
Height/Weight: 6’0” 205 lbs.
Bats/Throws: L/L
Future Tools: 60 hit, 55 run
Role: 50+—Solid-average regular in a corner outfield position
Major league ETA: 2018
5. Gilbert Lara, SS
DOB: 10/30/1997
Height/Weight: 6’0” 190 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 60 power, 60 arm
Role: 50—Average regular at shortstop or solid-average regular at third base
Major league ETA: 2019
他破了釀酒人簽約海外幼苗的簽約金紀錄，只有一個原因-Power。有點像走Miguel Sano
路線，他就現階段Power的展望已經有60分(有些給更高)，實際上他才剛滿18歲!
2015年17歲嫩到不行就已經在菜鳥聯盟出賽，也打得很菜，慢慢適應中，目前他還很苗條
(大部分的資料都是6'2或6'3，不知為何BP列的身高只有6'0)，且鎮守游擊。但他並沒有
甚麼突出的速度與敏捷性，一般認為他將來很快就會轉三壘或左外野，甚至變一壘手，
總之一切都有點像Sano路線。就希望他的Power真的也能像Sano那樣威猛，Sano的全壘打
數字一路從小聯盟屠殺上去，今年在大聯盟才出賽幾場就轟出10幾轟，就看這位名字有點
萌的Lara小弟弟未來能扛幾轟了。
6. Devin Williams, RHP
DOB: 09/21/1994
Height/Weight: 6’3” 165 lbs.
Future Tools: 60 fastball, 55 change
Role: 50—Mid-rotation starter/high-leverage reliever
Major league ETA: 2017
7. Monte Harrison, OF
DOB: 08/10/1995
Height/Weight: 6’3” 220 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 70 arm, 60 speed, 60 glove
Role: 50—Average corner-outfield regular
Major league ETA: 2018
8. Zach Davies, RHP
DOB: 02/07/1993
Future Tools: 70 change, 55 command
Role: 45—Back-end starter
Major league ETA: Already debuted
9. Cody Ponce, RHP
DOB: 04/25/1994
Height/Weight: 6’6” 240 lbs.
Future Tools: 60 fastball, 50 curve
Role: 45—back-end starter/high-leverage reliever
Major league ETA: 2018
10. Tyrone Taylor, OF
DOB: 01/22/1995
Height/Weight: 6’0” 185 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 60 speed, 55 glove
Role: 45—Fringe-average regular in center field/fourth outfielder
Major league ETA: 2016