反正有兩天備戰日,可以好好討論獎項了 ^^
文章來源:http://ppt.cc/u2pk
(不過原文好像有鎖)
是ESPN常駐專欄作家之一 Tom Haberstroh說他選MVP的標準
(不過他說他今年沒拿到選票...所以基本上就是說爽的...囧)
Most Valuable Playe
1. Stephen Curry
2. James Harden
3. Anthony Davis
4. Chris Paul
5. LeBron James
It's time to bury the "carrying the Team X" trope when discussing
the MVP award. We've heard it ad nauseam when it comes to Harden's
and Westbrook's MVP candidacy, usually at the expense of Curry and
the juggernaut Warriors. Harden is carrying the Rockets to the
second seed. Westbrook is carrying the Thunder into the playoffs.
是時候把「某某某carry了某某隊」 這種迷思在討論MVP時剔除了。
我們今年聽到很多哈登和西河陣營的人用這種廣告詞來蠱惑人心,
通常他們攻擊的點是說Curry所在的勇士太強了,而火箭隊則是被
哈登carry到了第二種子。西河則有可能把雷霆carry到季後賽。
Never mind that no team has more double-digit scorers than the
Rockets, which speaks to their sneaky depth. Never mind that the
Rockets' foundation is built on having the sixth-best defense in
the NBA. Never mind that Enes Kanter is averaging 18.4 points and
10.9 rebounds since arriving in OKC, a rate that only four other
bigs can match over the full season.
是的,他們選擇忽視火箭是擁有全聯盟最多得分上雙球員的球隊,
而這可充分顯示了他們其實很有深度。他們也不提火箭今年的基礎
是建立在聯盟第六的防守。他們也不提Kanter自從到雷霆後平均有
18.4分,10.9籃板,這個數據整季也只有四個常人能達到。
At its core, the "carrying" storyline is a flimsy rhetorical
shortcut that degrades teammates who have made winning
contributions. But here's the whopper: Statistically, Curry
carries the Warriors more than Harden and Westbrook carry their
respective teams.
從核心而論,所謂"carrying"這種故事實際上只是
一個很脆弱和想走捷徑的口號-建立在把對球隊勝利貢獻的隊友說成渣
的方式上。然而事實可能會讓你訝異:就數據而論,Curry反而是
所謂carry勇士更多的球員,比哈登和西河更多。
Per NBA.com lineup data, the Warriors are 16.8 points per 100
possessions better with Curry on the court compared to when he's
on the bench. The swing is just plus-7.8 for Harden and plus-6.6
points for Westbrook, far less impactful than Curry.
從NBA官網提供的數據可以看到,勇士隊在Curry上場的時候,比他在
場下時在每100次進攻裡能夠讓勇士多得16.8分!而這個數據
在哈登身上只有7.8分,西河只有6.6分,都比Curry少非常多。
Are you a visual learner? Take a look at the chart below. As you
can see, the swing between on/off court is far wider for Curry
than it is for Harden or Westbrook. When Curry is on the floor,
the Warriors have outscored opponents by 16.8 points (green dot)
while the Warriors have played an even 0.0 net rating when he's on
the bench (red dot). Actually, LeBron James (plus-17.2) and Chris
Paul (plus-20.3) have slightly larger swings than Curry, which
speaks to their lack of quality reserves.
你可以到原文裡去看這個圖表可以輕易看到這數據量化的表現。
基本上全聯盟也只有CP3(+20.3)和LBJ(+17.2)在這數據的表現上勝過Curry。
By no means should this alone decide the MVP race. There are other
factors that should be considered, namely whom each player tends
to share the court with and whom they play against. But the
"carrying" notion sounds a lot better in theory than it does in
reality. (And if you've been paying attention, the Rockets have
actually been outscored with Harden on the court this month, and
they're killing opponents when he's on the pine. Poor timing.)
當然我完全不認為單憑這一數據就能決定MVP獎落誰家。尤其如果我們
考量到跟這些球員一起上場的球員是誰,和他們是跟誰做對抗等等。
但是我要說明的只是所謂"carrying"這字所代表的往往比實際上多有不同。
(而且如果你有注意的話,在四月的比賽裡,哈登上場的時候火箭是負分,
而哈登在休息的時候火箭其它人反而能打翻對手。這可真不是個好時機啊^^)
Going beyond the fact that Harden's biggest rhetorical chip has
backfired, there are more reasons why I think Curry is the 2014-15
MVP. He helped turn the Warriors from a good regular-season team
to an all-time great regular-season team, which is harder to do
than going from bad to average or average to good. At 66-15, the
Warriors have added 15 wins to last season's total, which is the
most that a 50-win team has ever done in NBA history (the previous
record was 13).
即使我們跳過這個對哈登而言走火的口號好了,還有很多別的原因
我認為Curry才是2014-15年的MVP。第一,他幫助勇士從一個普通強隊
蛻變成為一個歷史級別的強隊。而我認為這個難度比把爛隊變成普隊,
或把普隊變成強隊更難。這樣說好了,勇士是歷史上所有50w球隊裡,
進步幅度最大的球隊(比去年多了16w,之前的紀錄是13w)。
The Curry-led Warriors are absolutely crushing the league. Even if
the Rockets nab the No. 2 seed, it shouldn't bolster Harden's
case. That would suggest that the Rockets, as a No. 2 seed, are
right behind the Warriors as the No. 1 seed. In reality, the
Rockets aren't even in the same stratosphere as the Warriors, who
have a plus-11.4 net rating. No team is even close.
在Curry的帶領下,勇士本季摧估拉朽的奪得賽季第一。即使火箭是
西區第二,這也不應該讓哈登得到更多MVP選票,是的,第二的確看起來
只落後第一一名。但是事實上,火箭和勇士在賽季的表現上不是同一個檔次的。
勇士本季的淨勝分可是雙位數字,沒有任何一支球隊接近這項表現。
As Insider pal Kevin Pelton points out, this isn't a reductive
"best player on best team" argument. Curry has the individual
cred. Survey the advanced metrics and you'll find that Harden and
Curry are basically indistinguishable. Harden narrowly edges Curry
in win shares and WAR; Curry nips Harden in PER, RPM and VORP.
Throw in the fact that Curry's "VER"