https://tinyurl.com/3d83w6pk
Ben Mayhew 分析師
https://tinyurl.com/ub5677f9
詳細全文
https://www.eloratings.net/2022_World_Cup
Elo Ratings
“The model works by simulating the entire tournament 500,000 times (an
upgrade from the original 100,000 as I’ve learned to code it more
efficiently) and registering how frequently each outcome occurred.”
利用Elo Ratings模擬了50萬次,得到了以下的結果
整體
https://i.imgur.com/yq5SQfA.png
16強預測
https://i.imgur.com/R12xAhy.png
心得:
大家怎麼看呢~