※ [本文轉錄自 NY-Yankees 看板 #1F-Sa36y ]
作者: iwillloveyou (darren79525) 看板: NY-Yankees
標題: [外電] Should the Yankees trade for Hamels?
時間: Mon Jul 9 01:53:05 2012
全文 : http://tinyurl.com/82kxwjg 作者 : Matt Imbrogo
While the Mets staying above water and the White Sox leading the A.L. Central
have been surprising stories of the 2012 season, there seems to be no bigger
surprise than the Philadelphnia Phillies. As I write this, they're nine games
under .500, sitting in last place (11 GB) of the first place Washington
National (!). While some predicted a fall by the Phillies this year, few
could've seen them falling this far. While they refuse to call themselves
sellers, they've traded both Jim Thome (to the O's) and Chad Qualls (to the
Yankees) in the past week. There have also been rumors that the team is
shopping outfielder Shane Victorino and leftly starter (and personal favorite)
Cole Hamels.
當 梅子 仍舊維持在競爭行列和 白襪 在美聯中區保持領先都令人訝異的時候,
費城費城人 的戰績才是2012年球季最讓人跌破眼鏡的事。
當我正在寫這篇文章時, 他們已經低於五成勝率九場了 , 落後國聯東區的領先者 華盛頓
國民 11場勝差之多。當大多數人都認為 費城人 的戰績只會比往年遜色一些，但很少人
能夠料到他們會跌到這麼深 （感謝Luxti大 指正)
費城人拒絕稱呼自己是賣家, 但他們在上個禮拜已經把湯米大叔交易去金鳥,
Chad Qualls 給了洋基( Damn! )。他們也捲入了一些乳摸, 想要賣掉外野手
Shane Victorino 和 左投手 黑魔使( 作者的最愛 )。
Of these pieces, there should be obvious interest in Hamels. In the abstract.
he is perfext fore the Yankees. He's a lefty entering his prime - this is his
age 28 seaon - and he strikes people out ( no fewer than 20% K rate in any of
his pro seasons ) without walking them (career 6.2 BB% ). He doesn’t quite
keep the ball on the ground as much as we’d like–43.3% career ground ball
rate–but his HR/FB–11.15%–isn’t all that worse than average,
considering the infrequency of grounders. Of course that sounds great;
the Yankees, and any team for that matter, should always want a pitcher that
good. But is it practical and realistic for the Yankees to attempt to acquire
Hamels?
從這些現象來看, 費城人 一定有很大的興趣想要賣掉黑魔使。大略來看呢, 他跟 洋基
根本就是絕配!!
(註:
先來看一下黑魔使的成績
本季:
17 GS 10 W 4 L ERA 3.20 118IP SO/9 9.0 BB/9 2.2 SO/BB 4.07
生涯0
197GS 84W 58L ERA 3.38 1279IP SO/9 8.5 BB/9 2.3 SO/BB 3.77
三度 All Star 兩次獲得Cya選票前十 ( 5. 6 各一)
2008 年 國聯冠軍賽MVP + 世界冠軍賽MVP 史上第五位一次抱走兩個季後賽MVP者)
他是左投並且即將步入他的生涯顛峰期－這是他28歲的球季－他三振一狗票人 (在他的
職業生涯中從來沒有三振率低於 20% ) 保送非常少 ( 生涯保送率 6.2% )。
雖然他不太是我們的最愛－盡可能地保持把球控制成滾地球，43%的滾地球, 但一直以來
被轟的機率非常低－這在滾地球投手上都是很罕見，這些數據都比標準值還低！！
當然這顯示他有多棒， 洋基 或者任何一支球隊都會想要一個這麼好的投手。
但，從現實上來看， 洋基 真的有必要去交易來得到他嗎？
It’s practical in that the Yankees do have a hole in the rotation, and will
have one until Andy Pettitte returns. With him out, the Yankees could use an
extra starter. Of course, that could lead to a log jam if Phil Hughes and
Ivan Nova continue to pitch well, but that “too much pitching” thing always
seems to work itself out, just like it did early this year. And, cliche as
this may sound, flags fly forever. There’s no doubt that Hamels would do a
lot in helping to secure a 28th World Series title. They should try to trade
for Hamels, but can they? This is where it gets dicey.
洋基 確實在先發投手的輪值上有缺陷，並且會在 派提特 歸隊前都會有一個空缺。
當 派提特 不在陣中的時候， 洋基 必須使用額外的一位先發投手。
如果 休斯 和 諾瓦 繼續投的很棒，這會變成一個甜蜜的負擔，但是太多投手總是
可以有方法解決的，就像 洋基 去年球季初那樣。（註）
好吧，這麼說就像老生常談。誰都不能否認說 黑魔使 可以給 洋基 贏得
第二十八次冠軍很大的幫助。他們可以試著去交易 黑魔使 ，但是他們可以嗎？
這才是問題所在。
（註： 洋基 去年也是有六位先發投手：
分別是CC . Burnett . Hughes . Garcia . Colon . Nova ,
但由於Hughes 球季初的球速、痛痛等問題而得到解決 ）
While the Phillies may turn into sellers, they definitely have the ability to
compete in the coming years without gutting the current team too much. Because
of that, it's presumable that they'd want upper-livel prospests that are
ML-ready or close to it .The Yankees don’t really have that. While
Manny Banuelos could represent that, he’s been some combination of shaky or
hurt all season and probably isn’t good enough on his own to headline a
package for a pitcher of Hamels’caliber.
If the Yankees are to acquire Hamels, they could definitely include Banuelos,
but they’d also have to include a lot of lower-level talent that
may not be too enticing to the Phillies, depending on what other teams can
offer. There’s also the financial issue, as I’d assume the Yankees would
want an extension window with Hamels. Considering the $189M payroll looming
for 2014, as referenced here, it might be a tough proposition to give Hamels
the contract he wants. That, of course, is another issue altogether, which I’
ll tackle next week during the All-Star Break.
確實 費城人 可能會轉變成賣家。他們不需要改變陣容太多就絕對有能力在外來幾年中
繼續保持競爭力。正因為如此，可以推測他們大概會想要的交易包裹是高層級的新秀，那
些準備好上大聯盟的或是至少靠近的。 洋基 說真的確實沒有這些。雖然，
Manny Banuelos 可以說是 費城人 想要的那種新秀的代表，但痛痛和低潮已經使他無
法成為足夠去交易 黑魔使 的主要包裹。
假使 洋基 要去交易黑魔使，可以肯定包裹中一定得包括 Banuelos 但是一定還包含了
更多低階聯盟的新秀，這跟其他球隊的交易提案相比，可能無法吸引 費城人 。
除此之外，還有財政上的問題，假使 洋基 想要跟 黑魔使 續約，考慮到 2014年
球隊的 1.89 億美元的薪資上限，給 黑魔使 他想要的合約會是一個很困難的問題。
當然，這又是另一個問題了。作者將會在下周，明星賽周中討論這個問題。