http://tinyurl.com/b7wwj33
Leaving aside completely the minor leaguers in the trade,
we might now ask this question: Would you rather have Justin
Upton for the next three seasons at $38.5 million, or Martin
Prado for the next four seasons at $40 million?
把交易內的小聯盟球員放在一邊，我們來問一個問題：
Justin Upton 三年 $38.5M (24y-27y)
Martin Prado 四年 $40M (28y-32y)
Dochi?
I mean, you have to love Upton's potential and Wins Above
Replacement isn't everything, but I would have to think long
and hard about that one. FanGraphs has Prado worth around $65
million over the last four seasons; considering both age-related
decline and natural salary inflation, doesn't $40 million for the
next four seasons seem like a pretty good deal? Meanwhile,
FanGraphs has Upton worth $52 million over the last three seasons;
at $38.5 over the next three, he also seems a pretty good deal.
我的意義是，你可以愛上Upton的潛力，而且WAR不是全部。
但這個問題我用力思考了很久。
Fangraph認為過去四個球季Prado的價值是大概$65M，以考慮了年紀因素相關的退化，
與薪資的通膨，之後四年$40M的這張合約看起來很棒不是嗎？
同時Fangraph認為過去三年Upton值$52M, 然後有著三年$38.5M的合約，
看起來也是很棒的合約。
As someone pointed out in the comments, Randall Delgado is more than a
"marginal prospect". If he pitches well for the Diamondbacks, they could
easily "win" this trade.
就像是有人在回復內說的，Delgado不只是個邊緣的小朋友，如果在蛇蛇那投的好，
蛇蛇很輕鬆地就可以贏這筆交易。
ps
這個作者之前有另一篇文章
http://tinyurl.com/byvz9mf
Braves win Diamondbacks' outfielder sweepstakes
又如果想要攻擊作者這樣引用數據有問題，
請考慮作者的生涯一開始是在Bill James下面工作，
之後去STATS,INC與ESPN.com