我是想放在襪板, 不過因為註冊時間不夠久不能在那發文
希望有好心人幫我轉一下, 謝謝
而我有三段沒有翻出來放在譯文的下方
有興趣的請自行觀看
原文網址:http://tinyurl.com/3xmq4c
於1/13發表
BA Jim Callis interview
1. Clay Buchholz, rhp
2. Jacoby Ellsbury, of
3. Lars Anderson, 1b
4. Justin Masterson, rhp
5. Jed Lowrie, ss
6. Ryan Kalish, of
7. Michael Bowden, rhp
8. Nick Hagadone, lhp
9. Oscar Tejeda, ss
10. Josh Reddick, of
1.在為球隊中的新秀做排名時,或多或少會加入比較主觀的意見。如果拿去年投過無安打的Buchholz和
Michael Rozier比較的話, 我們幾乎可以確定Buchy絕對是比較優秀的prospect。但是 Masterson vs. Lowrie??當一位是投手而另一位是野手,你有的時候會靠直覺來做判斷。在BA的文章中我將Lowrie放在Masterson後面並不代表我不看好他,許多的球探認為他有能力在大聯盟裡擔任一位合格的游擊手(儘管他的守備能力並不突出),他的火力也足夠讓他擔任三壘的位置。我之前預估Masterson
在紅襪會是一位合格的setup,這並不代表他的極限在此,他詭異的伸卡球速度與幅度都使他有機會成為一位三號先發或是終結者。如果兩人在其他球隊的話將會比在紅襪來說對球隊更有價值,紅襪並沒有太多的空缺讓他們發揮才能。兩人的名字也一直在Santana交易案中提起,也由於他們我認為紅襪的包裹是各隊裡最好的(場面話啦)。
B.許多人認為Bowden的2A球季是令人失望的,這點我並不贊同。雖然他的被安打數有點高,他其他的數據依舊保持的不差,別忘了他去年20歲就進2A了。而他在有可能是全小聯盟對投手表現影響最糟糕的高A Lancaster 投出 ERA 1.37 K/BB 46/ 8 in 46IP的優異成績。他在BA只能排到第七完全是因為紅襪農場的深度夠深。而Ryan Kalish的排名較高是因為我認為他有較大的機會成為一位明星CF。Bowden同樣的也有機會成為一位三號,他有著不錯的速球和曲球,不過他還缺少一顆真正的決勝球,Nick Hagadone的stuff比Bowden來的優異而且他是個左投。Oscar
Tejeda則是有機會成為Miguel Tejada之類的SS,上述兩人都有比Bowden更高成為明星球員的機會,而Bowden排名比他們兩人較高是因為他今年的2A球季並不差
SP: 你將Argenis Diaz列為第12名,這會不會與他在HWL的好表現有關,你對他整體的評價呢?
JC: Diaz 在HWL的.358打擊率的確有讓我眼睛為之一亮。紅襪去年將他練成了一位非常優異的SS守備職人,雖然HWL的水準並不高,他冬天在那的打擊進步仍然是個好消息。紅襪球團對他的期待是金手套游擊手加上高AVG的球員,不過不用對他的OBP和SLG有太高的期望
SP: Josh Reddick的第一個新人球季繳出令人驚豔的.306 /.352 /.531。在球探的眼中他在哪些方面還需要改善,和其他紅襪外野新秀相比你的意見呢?
JC: Reddick 是一位很有打擊潛力的外野手,我對他的打擊能力沒有太大疑慮,不過他在打擊區還需要培養他的耐心,以面對未來更高等級的投手。相較於其他OF新秀如Jacoby Ellsbury 或 Ryan Kalish,Reddick並不像他們那樣的全面,不過在長打方面他絕對是裡面最有潛力的。他會是更有打擊破壞力的
Brandon Moss,他雖然沒有農場裡最好的臂力,不過他的傳球並不弱且非常準確。
SP: 紅襪球團方面說Jason Place的揮棒姿勢在HWL中有很大的改善,球探們的看法是?
JC: 坦白的說,我認為一位高順位選進的新秀未來性會很危險(Jason Place是06年第27pick)如果他需要大修他的打擊姿勢,今年他在1A的打擊率只有 .214卻吞了160K,他不只是要改善,而是要大大的改善,2008球季對他的未來會很重要。
SP: 在因為手掌手術而被迫終止的低A球季。Ryan Kalish繳出了不錯的0.368 /0.471 /0.540三圍,在復原良好的08年我們可以對他有多好的期待?
JC: 他有可能會是1A裡最好的打者,三成打擊率、10轟、25盜是可以期待的。他也會是一位水準以上的CF,雙城會在包裹裡要求加入他不是沒有理由的
JC: 好問題,其實這三人中應該至少有一位要進我的紅襪Top30的。我會把票投給左投Britton,他在去年夏天18歲時球速就可達94mph了。他對於比賽的掌控能力較佳,同時也讓他的滑球更有威脅性,而Bailey雖然不是左投,卻有著和Britton差不多的球速,一位我很尊敬的球探跟我說Bailey令他想起了另一位同樣來自阿拉巴馬週的右投手,Jake Peavy。
SP: 可以談一下林哲瑄這位外野手和他的未來性嗎?
JC: 目前他的打擊並不是他最突出的能力,他的臂力是紅襪農場中最強的,速度也很不錯,因此他的守備有可能成為一位水準以上的CF。打擊方面,他有一定的長打潛力和不錯的推打能力,不過和其他的年輕球員一樣,他需要加強對變化球的攻擊能力。
SP: 對於一位非選秀FA來說 Hunter Jones在農場裡晉升的很快,你覺得他在08年有機會在大聯盟裡為紅襪出力嗎?
JC: 是的,今年他的確有機會上來見見世面,他甚至有能力擔任2-3局的中繼角色
SP: 談一下Michael Almanzar這位紅襪花了1.5M簽約金的多明尼加小鬼
JC: 紅襪對他的打擊寄予了很高的期望,16歲的他已經有了很好的揮棒速度與長打能力,六呎五吋 180磅的體型只有在往上發展的空間,五年後他有可能成為一位頂尖的長打好手,他的臂力也是另一項好物
SP: 紅襪這幾年的海外選秀和其他球團相比表現如何?
JC: 這並不好回答,有許多的小球員你需要在他們長出來以後才能作評估。不過紅襪在過去兩年從海外補進了Tejada, Almanzar, Engel Beltr和林哲瑄等人,以及松?和岡島兩位日本投手
SP: George Kottaras, Mark Wagner, Ty Weeden三位新秀捕手誰最有可能接下隊長的重擔?
JC: 我認為Wagner 是目前紅襪農場裡最好的捕手新秀,他在守備方面是最優秀的,也有不錯的打擊能力,Kottaras 的打擊仍有待加強。我想他可能只有二號的潛力。Weeden則有紅襪農場捕手裡最高的ceiling 。
SP: Chris Carter 可以帶給紅襪lineup任何幫助嗎?
JC: 只有在先發受傷時他才會有機會,即使一壘的Youk受傷,他也不一定會是替補的第一人選,外野也會是以Brandon Moss為主,Carter的小聯盟成績很令人玩味,他想打進紅襪的lineup還有些難度
SP: Would you say that 2008 seems like an important year for Kris Johnson? Do you expect him to take the next step now that there should be no lingering effects from Tommy John Surgery?
JC: I wouldn't say it's a crucial year, because he pitched well and made good progress in the last two-thirds of the 2007 season. Once he stopped being intimidated by Lancaster, he was fine. He has his velocity and command back, and his changeup is fine. He just needs to regain the curveball he had before the Tommy John surgery, and once he does that, I think he'll move quickly.
SP: The Lancaster park effects are undeniable, but Zach Daeges put up big numbers there. What is your read in his (actual) offensive potential? Is he good enough to potentially hold down a corner OF spot?
JC: I liked Daeges even before Lancaster boosted his numbers. He has a legitimate bat. He's limited to left field, though, so he can really hit. I think he has the chance to develop into what Brandon Moss has become (though not a right fielder). Daeges is more of an extra outfielder for a contender like Boston.
SP: Obviously they will never state it publicly, but do you sense any feeling of regret from the Sox regarding their inability to sign some big names in this year's draft? Who takes the blame for Hunter Morris?
JC: Not really, honestly. On Hunter Morris, that was a situation where the Red Sox felt he and his people had agreed to one price and Morris and his people believed they had not, and the two sides couldn't overcome that. I don't think Boston has much regret though, because they get the same pick (84a) in the 2008 draft and they signed a high school first baseman they're thrilled with in Anthony Rizzo. And though it seems like the Red Sox were somewhat more conservative in 2007 while the Yankees spent a
lot more money, two things haven't gotten a lot of play. First, New York overspent on guys seeming because it can, and I don't think the Yankees' overall haul is that impressive for the cash spent. Second, Boston went over slot to get Ryan Dent, Will Middlebrooks, Rizzo, David Mailman, Bailey and Britton. I'm not saying this class will be as good as the Red Sox' 2006 draft class, but it could be similar in that a year from now, a lot of the later-round picks could look pretty good. Boston didn't sign a
lot of intriguing names who slipped because of signability: Justin Grimm, Jake Cowan, Scott Green, Jaren Matthews, Matt Presley, Yasmani Grandal and Nick Tepesch. But in most of those cases, the Sox were taking a flier in case the players reduced their asking price and/or lessened their desire to go to college. I think those gambles are always worth taking. Tepesch was going to Missouri, even if he got offered $1 million. Grandal wanted $1 million, and his bat just isn't that good yet. Matthews agreed
to terms, then changed his mind. The one Boston probably regrets the most is Green. He was good but not great in the Cape Cod League, and he wanted the same money Nick Schmidt got in the first round from the Padres ($1.26 million). The Red Sox went up to $800,000 on him, and they'll kick themselves if he emerges as a first-rounder this spring. Of course, you can make the argument that Boston can easily afford the extra $426,000 Green wanted, or the difference between the value they put on, say, Grandal
and his asking price. I'd love to see a study that if a tea